Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 5

Date: 16 November 2024, Saturday

Location: Stade des Martyrs (Kinshasa)

Referee: Akech Malong R. (Ssu)

Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	Veikkaus TV
Italy	Sport Italia, Sportitalia Plus
Tanzania	Azam Sports 1


	Ethiopia		Tanzania

	1	X	2
				Watch
	3.6	2.7	2.1
	3.75	2.85	2.2	Watch
	3.96	2.84	2.2
	3.87	2.85	2.2	Watch
	2.9	2.8	2.4
	3.94	3.08	2.21	Watch
	3.75	2.85	2.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.68 ↑ (2.98)	2.85 ↑ (2.8)	2.22 ↓ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia
25.3%

Draw
32.7%

Tanzania
42%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

32.3%

37.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)

Tanzania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	25%	75%

Ethiopia - Tanzania Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Tanzania will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tanzania: 45% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Habtamu S. (G) Adama City 14. Bekele B. Sidama Bunna 4. Kasa F. 16. Baye Y. (C) Bahir Dar Kenema 11. Mamo D. Mechal SC 8. Yohannes A. Mechal SC 15. Demissie A. Welayta Dicha 10. Worku A. Mechal SC 17. Gugsa C. Bahir Dar Kenema 12. Arbo A. Legetafo Legedadi 7. Desta B. Mechal SC	18. Manula A. S. (G) Simba 22. Kapombe S. Simba 4. Bacca I. Young Africans 5. Dickson J. Azam 15. Husseini M. Simba 27. Yahya M. Young Africans 20. Miroshi N. Goztepe 6. Salum F. Azam 7. Mzize C. Young Africans 10. Samatta A. (C) PAOK 12. Msuva S. Al Talaba
Substitutes
1. Getahun F. (G) Ethiopia Nigd Bank 3. James R. Ethiopia Bunna 19. Kassaye Y. Ethiopian Insurance 6. Nasir R. 9. Nassir M. Dire Dawa 18. Tefera A. Ethiopia Bunna 5. Terfa A. St. Georges 21. Tunjo A. Dire Dawa 20. Wolde B. St. Georges	24. Ame I. Kinondoni MC 8. Bitegeko A. Azam 19. Bryson D. JKT Tanzania 1. Foba Z. (G) 3. Habibu K. 13. Hamoud N. S. Azam 11. Kibu D. Simba 14. Mgunda I. Mashujaa 23. Mnata M. (G) Young Africans 2. Msindo P. Azam 16. Mwaikenda L. Azam 17. Seleman I. Azam
Coaches
Haile G.	Suleiman H.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
15', 0 - 1, Msuva S. ⚽, Miroshi N. (A),
31', 0 - 2, Salum F. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Arbo A. ↓, Tefera A. ↑,
46', Mamo D. ↓, Kassaye Y. ↑,
52', Demissie A. 🟨,
58', Kasa F. 🟨,
63', Gugsa C. ↓, James R. ↑,
63', Demissie A. ↓, Wolde B. ↑,
66', Miroshi N. ↓, Bitegeko A. ↑,
66', Mzize C. ↓, Kibu D. ↑,
69', Mnata M. 🟨,
77', Manula A. S. 🟨,
85', Yahya M. ↓, Ame I. ↑,
85', Samatta A. ↓, Hamoud N. S. ↑,
88', Kasa F. ↓, Terfa A. ↑,
90+6', Msuva S. ↓, Msindo P. ↑,

Preview

Ethiopia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Tanzania will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Ethiopia won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 1.3:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Ethiopia - Guinea	0:3 ✺
12.10.24	Guinea - Ethiopia	4:1 ✺
09.09.24	Ethiopia - D.R. Congo	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Tanzania - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Djibouti - Ethiopia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLLTT
- Tanzania
African Nations Championship
03.11.24	Tanzania - Sudan	1:1 penalties ✺
Africa Cup of Nations
15.10.24	Tanzania - D.R. Congo	0:2 ✺
10.10.24	D.R. Congo - Tanzania	1:0 ✺
10.09.24	Guinea - Tanzania	1:2 ✺
04.09.24	Tanzania - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
04.09.24	Tanzania - Ethiopia	0:0
CECAFA Championship
30.11.15	Tanzania - Ethiopia	1:2 penalties
28.11.15	Tanzania - Ethiopia	1:1
Friendly
11.01.13	Ethiopia - Tanzania	2:1

Ethiopia - Tanzania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide