Match Info

AFRICA: Africa Cup of Nations - Qualification - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Stade Olympique Alassane Ouattara (Abidjan)

Referee: Ghorbal M. (Alg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Sportdigital FUSSBALL
Guinea	RTG
Italy	Sport Italia, Sportitalia
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV


	Ethiopia		Guinea

	1	X	2
				Watch
	6	3.6	1.49
	7	3.75	1.52	Watch
	6.72	3.8	1.53
	6.61	3.87	1.53	Watch
	6.89	3.75	1.53	Watch
	7	3.75	1.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.7 ↑ (6)	3.75 (3.75)	1.52 ↑ (1.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia
13.9%

Draw
24.8%

Guinea
61.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

24.2%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

Guinea has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	16.7%	83.3%

Ethiopia - Guinea Predictions

Users Predictions: Guinea will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 53.51% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Habtamu S. (G) Adama City 14. Bekele B. Sidama Bunna 3. James R. Ethiopia Bunna 4. Solomon M. 2. Hamid S. Ethiopia Nigd Bank 6. Panom G. (C) Fasil Kenema 19. Dagnachew S. Fasil Kenema 8. Markneh C. Mechal SC 18. Gezahegn W. Ethiopian Insurance 17. Gugsa C. Bahir Dar Kenema 7. Yalew A. ZED FC	16. Camara M. (G) Horoya 12. Diakite I. Cercle Brugge 5. Sow S. Strasbourg 2. Conte A. Botev Plovdiv 3. Sylla I. (C) Montpellier 7. Camara M. PAOK 15. Cisse S. Leganes 23. Toure A. Le Havre 14. Sylla M. Arouca 9. Guirassy S. Dortmund 19. Kamano F. Damac
Substitutes
16. Baye Y. Bahir Dar Kenema 10. Belay B. Hawassa 20. Biniam A. Adama City 15. Demissie A. Welayta Dicha 12. Desta B. Mechal SC 1. Getahun F. (G) Ethiopia Nigd Bank 5. Kasa F. Hadiya Hossana 13. Mamo D. Mechal SC 11. Nassir M. Dire Dawa 23. Nuri A. (G) Ethiopian Insurance 9. Tafesse M. Sidama Bunna 21. Tunjo A. Dire Dawa	8. Bah A. APOEL 10. Balde A. Bochum 11. Bayo M. Lille 18. Camara A. Ludogorets 1. Camara O. (G) 6. Conde C. Zurich 4. Conte I. FC UTA Arad 20. Diawara K. Pau 22. Keita M. Ashanti GB (SAG) 17. Lamine Soumah M. 13. Oulare N. Boluspor 21. Sylla S. Den Haag
Coaches
Haile G.	Paquille C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
16', 0 - 1, Guirassy S. ⚽, Sylla I. (A),
19', 0 - 2, Toure A. ⚽, Camara M. (A),
23', 0 - 3, Guirassy S. (Pen),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Gezahegn W. ↓, Baye Y. ↑,
59', Baye Y. 🟨,
60', Yalew A. ↓, Nassir M. ↑,
62', Camara M. ↓, Conde C. ↑,
62', Guirassy S. ↓, Bayo M. ↑,
65', Sow S. 🟨,
71', Conte A. ↓, Conte I. ↑,
83', Gugsa C. ↓, Tafesse M. ↑,
87', Kamano F. ↓, Balde A. ↑,
87', Sylla M. ↓, Diawara K. ↑,

Preview

In this match Guinea is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Ethiopia won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 3:9 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia
Africa Cup of Nations
12.10.24	Guinea - Ethiopia	4:1 ✺
09.09.24	Ethiopia - D.R. Congo	0:2 ✺
04.09.24	Tanzania - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
09.06.24	Djibouti - Ethiopia	1:1 ✺
06.06.24	Guinea Bissau - Ethiopia	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LLTTT
- Guinea
Africa Cup of Nations
12.10.24	Guinea - Ethiopia	4:1 ✺
10.09.24	Guinea - Tanzania	1:2 ✺
06.09.24	D.R. Congo - Guinea	1:0 ✺
FIFA World Cup
10.06.24	Guinea - Mozambique	0:1 ✺
06.06.24	Algeria - Guinea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Africa Cup of Nations
12.10.24	Guinea - Ethiopia	4:1
27.03.23	Ethiopia - Guinea	2:3
24.03.23	Guinea - Ethiopia	2:0

Ethiopia - Guinea: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide