Match Info

Premier League - Round 1

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Ethiopia Bunna		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.60	2.80	2.60
	2.62	2.75	2.65
	2.62	2.89	2.78	Watch
	2.62	2.79	2.62
	2.6	2.8	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.61 ↑ (2.61)	2.81 ↓ (2.89)	2.66 ↓ (2.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
34.3%

Draw
32%

Sheger Ketema
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

35.1%

31.7%

33.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Ethiopia Bunna has recorded 1 win, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:2 (averaging 1.5:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Ethiopia Bunna against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with 1:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Sheger Ketema	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5
13	Ethiopia Bunna	4	1	0	3	2:6	-4	3

Last Results with these Odds

Sheger Ketema - the odds 2.77 are the expected chance of winning is 33.11%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
03.07.26	Welayta Dicha - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
26.06.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Mekelle 70 Enderta	3:0 ✺
20.06.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
14.06.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sidama Coffee	1:2 ✺
28.05.26	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 TWTLL
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
28.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Mechal	2:0 ✺
20.06.26	Dire Dawa City - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Sheger Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 WLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
08.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema	1:1
26.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2

Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema