Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 8 April 2026, Wednesday


	Ethiopia Bunna		Sheger Ketema

	1	X	2
	2.72	2.78	2.58
	2.95	2.59	2.64
	2.85	2.83	2.61	Watch
	2.8	2.6	2.5
	2.86	2.62	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.84 ↑ (2.11)	2.68 ↓ (3.03)	2.59 ↓ (3.53)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Bunna
31.7%

Draw
33.5%

Sheger Ketema
34.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.6%

30.4%

26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.8%

29.6%

25.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Bunna's form might have worsened.

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sheger Ketema's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Bunna, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sheger Ketema, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	100%

Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sheger Ketema will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sheger Ketema (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
42', 0 - 1, Abdo A. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Desalegn G. 🟥,
68', 1 - 1, Abubakar A. ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 7 and 11).

Ethiopia Bunna is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Sheger Ketema has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ethiopia Bunna won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Ethiopia Bunna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Sheger Ketema	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

Last Results with these Odds

Ethiopia Bunna - the odds 2.11 are the expected chance of winning is 43.59%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
04.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
14.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Adama City	3:2 ✺
08.03.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Bunna	2:1 ✺
04.03.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Bahir Dar Kenema	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Negele Arsi Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWLWW
- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
03.04.26	Sheger Ketema - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
13.03.26	Hadiya Hossana - Sheger Ketema	0:2 ✺
08.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Saint George	1:0 ✺
03.03.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopian Medhin	1:1 ✺
26.02.26	Adama City - Sheger Ketema	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 LWWTT

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
26.11.25	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2

Ethiopia Bunna - Sheger Ketema: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide