Match Info

Premier League - Round 34

Date: 28 May 2026, Thursday


	Hawassa City		Ethiopia Bunna

	1	X	2
	2.22	2.68	3.5
	2.23	2.68	3.91
	2.36	2.4	4.06	Watch
	2.2	2.63	3.4
	2.21	2.56	3.87
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.24 ↓ (2.73)	2.59 ↓ (2.78)	3.75 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Hawassa City
40.6%

Draw
35.1%

Ethiopia Bunna
24.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Hawassa City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Hawassa City's performance.

Ethiopia Bunna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Ethiopia Bunna might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Hawassa City than the current prediction. (-7.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Hawassa City that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Bunna than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Ethiopia Bunna could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	40%	20%

Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Hawassa City will win (votes: 2 - 40%). Ethiopia Bunna will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Ethiopia Bunna (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Ethiopia Bunna (3.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Ethiopia Bunna (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Yared B. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', 1 - 0, Bereket S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 7 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 0.

Hawassa City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Ethiopia Bunna's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Hawassa City won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 14:20. (average 1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Hawassa City won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 0.6:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
8	Ethiopia Bunna	38	13	12	13	40:39	1	51
9	Hawassa	38	12	14	12	37:32	5	50

Last Results with these Odds

Hawassa City - the odds 2.73 are the expected chance of winning is 33.74%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Hawassa City SC
Ethiopian Premier League
20.05.26	Saint George - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
16.05.26	Hawassa City - Arba Minch	0:0 ✺
09.05.26	Hadiya Hossana - Hawassa City	1:0 ✺
04.05.26	Hawassa City - Sheger Ketema	1:1 ✺
29.04.26	Ethiopian Medhin - Hawassa City	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.3 LTLTL
- Ethiopia Bunna
Ethiopian Premier League
20.05.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Fasil Kenema	2:1 ✺
14.05.26	Shire Endaselassie - Ethiopia Bunna	1:0 ✺
09.05.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Mechal	1:1 ✺
05.05.26	Dire Dawa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0 ✺
30.04.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Welwalo Adigrat	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
17.01.26	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	1:1
09.03.25	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0
02.10.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	3:1
05.04.24	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	3:2
05.01.24	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna	1:2
11.03.23	Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna	0:0
10.10.22	Ethiopia Bunna - Hawassa City	1:2

Hawassa City - Ethiopia Bunna: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide