Match Info

Premier League - Round 37

Date: 28 June 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Sheger Ketema		Mechal

	1	X	2
	3.00	2.80	2.30
	2.98	2.88	2.32
	2.95	3.13	2.4
	2.93	3.11	2.36	Watch
	4.05	2.9	1.88
	2.75	2.94	2.52
	2.95	2.85	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.09 ↓ (3.1)	2.94 ↑ (2.88)	2.3 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sheger Ketema
29.5%

Draw
30.9%

Mechal
39.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

29%

31.2%

39.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.6%

30.7%

40.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sheger Ketema has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Mechal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sheger Ketema than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mechal than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Sheger Ketema - Mechal Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
21', 1 - 0, Alemayehu F. ⚽,
32', 2 - 0, Mekonnen Y. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 15 and 3).

Sheger Ketema is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Mechal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Sheger Ketema may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Mechal is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sheger Ketema won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mechal	4	3	0	1	5:2	3	9
7	Sheger Ketema	4	1	2	1	3:3	0	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sheger Ketema
Ethiopian Premier League
20.06.26	Dire Dawa City - Sheger Ketema	2:0 ✺
16.06.26	Sheger Ketema - Welwalo Adigrat	0:0 ✺
29.05.26	Fasil Kenema - Sheger Ketema	0:1 ✺
20.05.26	Sheger Ketema - Mekelle 70 Enderta	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Sheger Ketema	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LTWLL
- Mechal SC
Ethiopian Premier League
21.06.26	Mechal - Ethiopian Medhin	1:0 ✺
14.06.26	Saint George - Mechal	3:0 ✺
28.05.26	Mechal - Arba Minch	1:2 ✺
19.05.26	Bahir Dar Kenema - Mechal	1:1 ✺
14.05.26	Mechal - Negele Arsi Ketema	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
31.01.26	Mechal - Sheger Ketema	0:1

Sheger Ketema - Mechal