Match Info

ETHIOPIA: PREMIER LEAGUE - ROUND 18

Date: 15 March 2024, Friday


	Ethiopia Nigd Bank		Defence Force

	1	X	2
	2	2.95	3.5
	2.11	2.94	3.62
	2.11	2.94	3.62
	2.02	3.02	3.69
	2.05	3	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.22)	2.97 ↑ (2.9)	3.61 ↑ (3.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
44.2%

Draw
30.6%

Defence Force
25.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.9%

31.3%

27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

30.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Defence Force has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Defence Force than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Getahun F. (G) 26. Basiru U. 15. Endale Y. 7. Ephrem T. 10. Fereja F. 12. Getachew B. 8. Gizawe B. 11. Hamid S. 2. Jemal F. (C) 21. Jima K. 17. Shewalem H.	1. Alionzi N. (G) 5. Badu S. 18. Bekele S. 20. Girma B. 6. Hagos G. 34. Hailu N. 11. Mamo D. 8. Markneh C. 17. Mengistu Y. 13. Negsh A. 14. Wondimu M. (C)
Substitutes
20. Amankwah C. 14. Bitsuamlak B. 25. Chol P. (G) 5. Fikadu D. 18. Gidey A. 23. Legesse Y. 41. Mahot E. 9. Mamush A. 1. Merne A. (G) 32. Peter S. 28. Tamirat T. 19. Tesfaye T.	23. Adane M. 10. Alemu F. 12. Dawiti Y. 7. Desta B. 19. Disasa G. 29. Kebede Y. 26. Mohammed I. 28. NNamdi C. 9. Saliso S. 31. Sitotaw A. (G) 30. Tefera D. (G) 44. Wondimu D.

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 3).

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Defence Force could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Defence Force have a series of home games.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
10.03.24	Hadiya Hossana - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0 ✺
03.03.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	4:1 ✺
16.02.24	Fasil Kenema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:4 ✺
08.02.24	Sidama Coffee - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
01.02.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Saint George	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWWLL
- Defence Force SC
Ethiopian Premier League
07.03.24	Defence Force - Bahir Dar Kenema	0:1 ✺
01.03.24	Defence Force - Hadiya Hossana	2:3 ✺
17.02.24	Shashemene Kenema - Defence Force	0:1 ✺
08.02.24	Defence Force - Ethiopia Bunna	0:4 ✺
03.02.24	Defence Force - Sidama Coffee	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
21.10.23	Defence Force - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1
04.01.17	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Defence Force	0:0

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Defence Force: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide