Match Info

Premier League - Round 16

Date: 21 January 2026, Wednesday


	Ethiopia Nigd Bank		Adama City

	1	X	2
	2.62	2.62	2.88
	2.75	2.65	2.89	Watch
	2.63	2.5	2.8
	2.64	2.59	2.88	Watch
	2.8	2.66	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.69 ↑ (2.27)	2.6 ↓ (2.82)	2.85 ↓ (3.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ethiopia Nigd Bank
33.6%

Draw
34.7%

Adama City
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.6%

32.7%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42%

31.6%

25.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ethiopia Nigd Bank has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ethiopia Nigd Bank's form might have worsened.

Adama City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ethiopia Nigd Bank than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ethiopia Nigd Bank, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Adama City than the current prediction. (-5.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Adama City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Adama City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
20', 1 - 0, Gidey A. ⚽,
22', 1 - 1, Biniam A. ⚽,
37', 1 - 2, Hussein A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
51', 2 - 2, Peter S. ⚽,
63', 2 - 3, Sani A. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 13 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 2.

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.5:0.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Ethiopia Nigd Bank won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:3. (average 2:1).

Standings

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
13	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	38	11	14	13	45:45	0	47
15	Adama City	38	10	16	12	35:39	-4	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Ethiopian Premier League
16.01.26	Ethio Electric - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	2:1 ✺
10.01.26	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Hadiya Hossana	0:0 ✺
04.01.26	Sheger Ketema - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
31.12.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Ethiopian Medhin	2:1 ✺
25.12.25	Saint George - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LTTWT
- Adama City FC
Ethiopian Premier League
17.01.26	Adama City - Sidama Coffee	2:2 ✺
08.01.26	Welwalo Adigrat - Adama City	1:1 ✺
03.01.26	Adama City - Fasil Kenema	0:0 ✺
30.12.25	Shire Endaselassie - Adama City	0:1 ✺
26.12.25	Adama City - Mechal	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.8 TTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Ethiopian Premier League
25.05.25	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	0:2
28.01.25	Adama City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:2
03.03.24	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	4:1
01.10.23	Adama City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	0:0
30.04.17	Adama City - Ethiopia Nigd Bank	1:1
14.01.17	Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City	2:0

Ethiopia Nigd Bank - Adama City: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide