Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Relegation Group - Round 2

Date: 6 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Daio Wasabi Stayen (Sint-Truiden)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belgium	DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
Japan	DAZN Japan
Netherlands	Sporza


	Sint-Truidense		Kortrijk

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.75	4.5	Watch
	1.93	3.6	3.8
	1.78	3.65	4.4	Watch
	1.75	3.72	4.74	Watch
	1.79	3.88	4.66	Watch
	1.78	3.65	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.79 ↓ (1.85)	3.71 ↓ (3.78)	4.42 ↑ (4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sint-Truidense
52.9%

Draw
25.6%

Kortrijk
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.2%

25.1%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.9%

24.8%

23.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sint-Truidense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Kortrijk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kortrijk than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sint Truidense - Kortrijk Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Sint-Truidense (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Sint-Truidense will win (8 of 8 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Kokubo L. (G) 22. Janssens W. 26. Musliu V. 31. Godeau B. (C) 19. Patris L. 13. Ito R. 8. Fujita J. 2. Ogawa R. 7. Brahimi B. 94. Lapoussin L. 91. Bertaccini A.	95. Pirard L. (G) 93. Duverne J. 24. Fujii H. 33. Tsunoda R. 6. Mehssatou Sepulveda N. 27. Sissako A. 23. Ilaimaharitra M. 68. Ambrose T. 16. Dejaegere B. (C) 10. Kadri A. 19. Nacho
Substitutes
12. Coppens J. (G) 14. Dumont O. 9. Ferrari A. 18. Jukleroed S. 32. Mbalanda J. 20. Van Helden R. 60. Vanwesemael R. 6. Yamamoto R. 15. Zahiroleslam K.	17. Bruno M. 9. Czubak K. 11. De Neve D. 8. Dermane K. 13. De Vlaeminck E. (G) 20. Dewaele G. 32. Gueye M. 18. Kostons K. 26. Lagae B.
Coaches
Mazzu F.	Storck B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 3)
16', Fujita J. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Kadri A. ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, Nacho ⚽, Kadri A. (A),
27', 0 - 3, Mehssatou Sepulveda N. ⚽, Duverne J. (A),
32', Janssens W. ↓, Van Helden R. ↑,
32', Godeau B. ↓, Ferrari A. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Fujii H. ↓, Lagae B. ↑,
61', Pirard L. ↓, De Vlaeminck E. ↑,
65', Duverne J. 🟨,
66', Kokubo L. 🟨,
73', Lapoussin L. ↓, Zahiroleslam K. ↑,
73', Dejaegere B. 🟨,
76', Ogawa R. ↓, Vanwesemael R. ↑,
76', Dejaegere B. ↓, Dermane K. ↑,
76', Patris L. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
76', Ambrose T. ↓, Kostons K. ↑,
87', Kadri A. ↓, Czubak K. ↑,
90+1', Vanwesemael R. 🟨,

Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sint-Truidense won 4.

Sint-Truidense is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Kortrijk is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Kortrijk could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Sint-Truidense is a favorite.

There will not play in Sint-Truidense: Barnes J. (Injury) Delpupo I. (Ankle Injury)

There will not play in Kortrijk: Ilic M. (Broken jawbone) Mampassi M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in Sint-Truidense: Taniguchi S. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Kortrijk: Gunnarsson P. (Knock)

Last 20 head-to-head matches Sint-Truidense won 9 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 22:24 (average 1.1:1.2).

Including matches at home between the teams Sint-Truidense won 5 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.1:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
29.03.25	Beerschot Wilrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:1 ✺
16.03.25	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Sint-Truidense	3:2 ✺
07.03.25	Sint-Truidense - Beerschot Wilrijk	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	4:2 ✺
21.02.25	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 WLWWT
- KV Kortrijk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
30.03.25	Kortrijk - Cercle Brugge	2:2 ✺
16.03.25	Gent - Kortrijk	1:2 ✺
08.03.25	Kortrijk - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	2:0 ✺
01.03.25	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	4:2 ✺
23.02.25	Kortrijk - Cercle Brugge	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.9 TWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.03.25	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	4:2
01.09.24	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	1:1
09.02.24	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	1:0
06.08.23	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:1
04.02.23	Sint-Truidense - Kortrijk	1:0
06.08.22	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	0:0
05.02.22	Kortrijk - Sint-Truidense	1:3

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