Match Info

Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 39

Date: 21 May 2026, Thursday

Location: Lotto Park (Anderlecht)

Referee: Laforge N. (Bel)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	DAZN
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	Sporza, Sporza
Bolivia	DAZN
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN
Finland	DAZN
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Japan	DAZN Japan
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Paraguay	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN / App
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Uruguay	DAZN
Usa	DAZN USA
Venezuela	DAZN


	Anderlecht		Sint-Truidense

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.7	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.5	3.4	Watch
	2.05	3.72	3.62
	2.02	3.63	3.53	Watch
	2	3.4	3.3
	2.05	3.63	3.53	Watch
	2.18	3.45	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.04 ↓ (2.37)	3.58 ↓ (3.76)	3.36 ↑ (2.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Anderlecht
45.9%

Draw
26.2%

Sint-Truidense
27.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.3%

25.4%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.7%

25.6%

34%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Anderlecht has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Anderlecht's performance.

Sint-Truidense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sint-Truidense might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (-5.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Anderlecht that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sint-Truidense than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sint-Truidense could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.6%	8.7%	21.7%

Anderlecht - Sint Truidense Predictions

Users Predictions: 23 users predict this event. Anderlecht will win (votes: 16 - 69.6%). Sint-Truidense will win (votes: 5 - 21.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 8.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Anderlecht: 50.8% – 88.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Coosemans C. (C) 7. Camara I. 3. Hey L. 55. Kana M. 79. Maamar A. 13. Saliba N. 74. De Cat N. 10. Verschaeren Y. 21. Huerta Valera C. S. 14. Sikan D. 83. Degreef T.	21. Lendfers M. (G) 60. Vanwesemael R. 4. Mbe Soh L. 26. Musliu V. (C) 23. Pupe J. 14. Merlen R. 8. Sissako A. 7. Muja A. 6. Yamamoto R. 10. Sebaoui I. 99. Shinkawa S.
Substitutes
4. Angely M. 6. Augustinsson L. 91. Bertaccini A. 11. Hazard T. 32. Heekeren J. (G) 99. Kanate I. 24. Llansana E. 23. Rits M. 54. Sardella K.	77. Diouf O. 33. Diriken A. 42. Goto K. 22. Janssens W. 18. Jukleroed S. 16. Kokubo L. (G) 38. Matsuzawa K. 53. Nhaili A. 5. Taniguchi S.
Coaches
Taravel J.	Vrancken W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
4', Muja A. 🟨,
14', Camara I. ↓, Sardella K. ↑,
20', 1 - 0, Sikan D. ⚽, Degreef T. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Sikan D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Muja A. ↓, Matsuzawa K. ↑,
58', Shinkawa S. ↓, Diouf O. ↑,
64', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Llansana E. ↑,
64', Sikan D. ↓, Hazard T. ↑,
72', Merlen R. ↓, Janssens W. ↑,
72', Sebaoui I. ↓, Goto K. ↑,
77', 2 - 1, Sissako A. ⚽, Matsuzawa K. (A),
83', De Cat N. ↓, Augustinsson L. ↑,
83', Verschaeren Y. ↓, Bertaccini A. ↑,
85', Sardella K. 🟨,
87', Vanwesemael R. ↓, Jukleroed S. ↑,
90+1', Llansana E. 🟨,
90+2', 3 - 1, Bertaccini A. ⚽, Maamar A. (A),
90+9', Jukleroed S. 🟨,

Preview

Sint-Truidense is Qualified for Europa League (Qualification )

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 3.

Anderlecht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Sint-Truidense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Anderlecht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Anderlecht will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 12 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 36:17. (average 1.8:0.9).

Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:7. (average 2.1:0.6).

Outrights of Belgian Jupiler Pro League for now

Anderlecht: 4.86% St. Truiden: 1.03%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Anderlecht	8	5	1	2	9:6	3	16
12	St. Truiden	7	2	2	3	12:12	0	8

Last Results with these Odds

Anderlecht - the odds 2.37 are the expected chance of winning is 40.28%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Sint-Truidense - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 34.34%, but this team recently wins 29% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Anderlecht
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
17.05.26	Anderlecht - KV Mechelen	2:2 ✺
Belgian Cup
14.05.26	Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht	3:1 ET ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
10.05.26	Gent - Anderlecht	1:1 ✺
03.05.26	Anderlecht - Club Brugge	1:3 ✺
26.04.26	Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 TLTLL
- Sint-Truidense VV
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
16.05.26	Sint-Truidense - Gent	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Club Brugge - Sint-Truidense	2:0 ✺
02.05.26	Sint-Truidense - Saint-Gilloise	2:1 ✺
26.04.26	KV Mechelen - Sint-Truidense	1:4 ✺
23.04.26	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.7 TLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
23.04.26	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	2:0
13.12.25	Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense	2:1
19.10.25	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	2:2
15.12.24	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	0:2
27.07.24	Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense	1:0
18.02.24	Anderlecht - Sint-Truidense	4:1
13.08.23	Sint-Truidense - Anderlecht	0:1

Upcoming Matches