Match Info

BELGIUM: JUPILER PRO LEAGUE - ROUND 24

Date: 4 February 2024, Sunday

Location: Kehrwegstadion (Eupen)

Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)


	Eupen		KV Mechelen

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.2	Watch
	3	3.4	2.3
	3	3.4	2.3	Watch
	3.15	3.4	2.31
	3.15	3.41	2.37
	3.08	3.48	2.3	Watch
	3.05	3.45	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.08 ↓ (3.19)	3.42 ↓ (3.56)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Eupen
30.9%

Draw
27.8%

KV Mechelen
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.5%

26.4%

44%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29%

26%

44.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Eupen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)

KV Mechelen has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Eupen than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KV Mechelen than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	40%	40%

Eupen - KV Mechelen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Eupen will win (votes: 2 - 20%). Mechelen will win (votes: 4 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Mechelen: 9.6% – 70.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Slonina G. (G) 4. Palsson V. 25. Filin A. 3. Davidson J. 15. Magnee G. 8. Mohwald K. 35. Lambert B. 18. Keita A. 2. Van Genechten Y. 19. Pantovic M. 10. Charles-Cook R.	1. Coucke G. (G) 5. Walsh S. 27. Bates D. 22. Cobbaut E. 38. Antonio B. 34. Mukau N. 19. Mrabti K. 23. Foulon D. 7. Hairemans G. 77. Pflucke P. 20. Lauberbach L.
Substitutes
6. Baiye B. 23. Christie-Davies I. 14. Deom J. 27. Finnbogason A. 21. Kral J. 7. Nuhu I. 28. Paeshuyse R. 20. Pattynama S. 99. Roufosse T. (G)	39. Asante I. 36. Asare D. 35. Bafdili B. 42. Garananga M. 37. Loeman T. 12. Rottiers N. 16. Schoofs R. 15. Thoelen Y. (G) 6. Van Hecke J.
Coaches
Kohfeldt F.	Hasi B.

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Eupen won 2.

Recent matches Eupen is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mechelen is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Mechelen could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Eupen have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to achieve triumph for both teams are almost equal.

Last 15 head-to-head matches Eupen won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 16-19.

Including matches at home between the teams Eupen won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAS Eupen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
31.01.24	Charleroi - Eupen	1:0 ✺
28.01.24	Eupen - Royal Antwerp	1:0 ✺
24.01.24	RWDM Brussels - Eupen	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
13.01.24	Schalke 04 - Eupen	3:1 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
26.12.23	Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Eupen	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.5 LWWLL
- KV Mechelen
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
01.02.24	KV Mechelen - Anderlecht	2:2 ✺
28.01.24	KV Mechelen - RWDM Brussels	3:1 ✺
19.01.24	Gent - KV Mechelen	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
10.01.24	KV Mechelen - Hertha Berlin	3:0 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
27.12.23	Charleroi - KV Mechelen	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Belgian Jupiler Pro League
02.09.23	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:0
10.02.23	Eupen - KV Mechelen	2:1
22.10.22	KV Mechelen - Eupen	2:1
19.03.22	Eupen - KV Mechelen	1:1
Belgian Cup
22.12.21	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:3
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
07.08.21	KV Mechelen - Eupen	1:3
23.01.21	KV Mechelen - Eupen	3:0

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