Match Info

Premier League - Round 2

Date: 24 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Attwell S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Everton		Brighton & Hove Albion

	1	X	2
	3	3.3	2.35
	2.95	3.3	2.4
	3	3.35	2.42
	3.16	3.37	2.41
	2.78	3.23	2.54	Watch
	3	3.3	2.3
	3.09	3.49	2.41	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.78)	3.33 ↓ (3.4)	2.4 ↓ (2.48)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
31.8%

Draw
28.6%

Brighton & Hove Albion
39.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.1%

27.8%

38.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.3%

28.8%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Brighton & Hove Albion has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20.5%	25%	54.5%

Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion Predictions

Users Predictions: 43 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 9 - 20.9%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 24 - 55.8%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 23.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Brighton & Hove: 41% – 70.6%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 17 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 1 - 5.9%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 11 - 64.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 29.4%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Everton (1.57) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

AH -0.25 - Brighton & Hove (2.02) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Brighton & Hove (1.69) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 2 - 9.5%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 14 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 5 - 23.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 37. Garner J. 42. Iroegbunam T. 27. Gueye I. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.	1. Verbruggen B. (G) 27. Wieffer M. 6. van Hecke J. P. 5. Dunk L. (C) 29. De Cuyper M. 17. Baleba C. 26. Ayari Y. 11. Minteh Y. 33. O'Riley M. 22. Mitoma K. 18. Welbeck D.
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 45. Armstrong H. 39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 17. Chermiti 23. Coleman S. 7. McNeil D. 62. Onyango T. 12. Travers M. (G)	21. Boscagli O. 42. Coppola D. 25. Gomez D. 8. Gruda B. 13. Hinshelwood J. 24. Kadioglu F. 20. Milner J. 23. Steele J. (G) 34. Veltman J.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Hurzeler F.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Ndiaye I. ⚽, Grealish J. (A),
28', De Cuyper M. 🟨,
39', Iroegbunam T. 🟨,
40', Wieffer M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Baleba C. ↓, Hinshelwood J. ↑,
52', 2 - 0, Garner J. ⚽, Grealish J. (A),
63', Garner J. 🟨,
64', Ndiaye I. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
64', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
67', De Cuyper M. ↓, Kadioglu F. ↑,
67', Ayari Y. ↓, Gomez D. ↑,
71', Iroegbunam T. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,
77', Welbeck D. (Pen),
86', Wieffer M. ↓, Gruda B. ↑,
89', Dewsbury-Hall K. 🟨,
90+1', Kadioglu F. 🟨,
90+4', Grealish J. ↓, Armstrong H. ↑,
90+5', Beto 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 2.

Everton has been struggling in recent matches (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Brighton & Hove is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Brighton & Hove may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Thigh Injury)

There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Enciso J. (Knee Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Everton: Mykolenko V. (Groin Injury) Patterson N. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Everton won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 26:21. (average 1.6:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 14:14. (average 1.8:1.8).

Last Results with these Odds

Everton - the odds 2.78 are the expected chance of winning is 34.06%, but this team recently wins 10% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
18.08.25	Leeds United - Everton	1:0 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Everton - Roma	0:1 ✺
Premier League Summer Series
03.08.25	Manchester United - Everton	2:2 ✺
30.07.25	West Ham United - Everton	2:1 ✺
26.07.25	Everton - Bournemouth	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLTLL
- Brighton & Hove Albion
English Premier League
16.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Fulham	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
09.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg	2:1 ✺
09.08.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Wolfsburg	2:0 ✺
02.08.25	Southampton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:2 ✺
21.07.25	Las Palmas - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 TWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
25.01.25	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	0:1
17.08.24	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	0:3
24.02.24	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:1
04.11.23	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:1
08.05.23	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:5
03.01.23	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	1:4
02.01.22	Everton - Brighton & Hove Albion	2:3

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