Match Info

Premier League - Round 26

Date: 10 February 2026, Tuesday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Madley A. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Everton		Bournemouth

	1	X	2
	2.3	3.5	3
	2.32	3.7	2.95
	2.37	3.53	3.12
	2.42	3.52	3	Watch
	2.3	3.3	2.9
	2.35	3.58	3.07	Watch
	2.3	3.4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↑ (2.33)	3.5 ↑ (3.44)	3.02 ↑ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
41%

Draw
27.3%

Bournemouth
31.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.5%

27.5%

32%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.4%

28.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Bournemouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bournemouth than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.6%	22.4%	19%

Everton - Bournemouth Predictions

Users Predictions: 57 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 34 - 59.6%). Bournemouth will win (votes: 10 - 17.5%). It will Tie (votes: 13 - 22.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Everton: 46.9% – 72.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Bournemouth (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Tie (votes: 3 - 18.8%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Everton (1.43) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - Everton (2.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 10 - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

AH 0 - Everton (1.70) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 21 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 15 - 71.4%). Bournemouth (votes: 3 - 14.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 32. Branthwaite J. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 19. George T. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Ndiaye I. 11. Barry T.	1. Petrovic D. (G) 20. Jimenez A. 23. Hill J. 5. Senesi M. 3. Truffert A. 8. Scott A. 27. Toth A. 37. Rayan 10. Christie R. (C) 21. Adli A. 9. Evanilson
Substitutes
24. Alcaraz C. 45. Armstrong H. 9. Beto 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 5. Keane M. 2. Patterson N. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)	12. Adams T. 7. Brooks D. 4. Cook L. 18. Diakite B. 22. Kroupi E. J. 29. Mandas C. (G) 44. Milosavljevic V. 15. Smith A. 26. Unal E.
Coaches
Moyes D.	Iraola A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
42', 1 - 0, Ndiaye I. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
57', Rayan 🟨,
58', Evanilson ↓, Kroupi E. J. ↑,
58', Toth A. ↓, Unal E. ↑,
61', 1 - 1, Rayan ⚽, Truffert A. (A),
62', Barry T. ↓, Beto ↑,
62', George T. ↓, Armstrong H. ↑,
64', 1 - 2, Adli A. ⚽, Hill J. (A),
66', Beto 🟨,
69', O'Brien J. 🟥,
80', Adli A. ↓, Cook L. ↑,
80', Christie R. ↓, Brooks D. ↑,
81', Brooks D. 🟨,
90', Iraola A. 🟨,
90+3', Rayan ↓, Smith A. ↑,
90+3', Mykolenko V. ↓, Keane M. ↑,
90+6', Jimenez A. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 and 11).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

There will not play in Everton: Grealish J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Bournemouth: Doak B. (Hamstring Injury) Kluivert J. (Knee Injury) Soler J. (Injury) Tavernier M. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Bournemouth: Adams T. (Knee Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Everton won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 11 matches, and goals 28:34. (average 1.4:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.9:1.6).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Everton: 0.44% Bournemouth: 0.37%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6:3	3	9
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6:8	-2	3

Last Results with these Odds

Bournemouth - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 31.97%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
07.02.26	Fulham - Everton	1:2 ✺
31.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Everton	1:1 ✺
26.01.26	Everton - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
18.01.26	Aston Villa - Everton	0:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Everton - Sunderland	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.2 WTTWL
- AFC Bournemouth
English Premier League
07.02.26	Bournemouth - Aston Villa	1:1 ✺
31.01.26	Wolverhampton Wanderers - Bournemouth	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Bournemouth - Liverpool	3:2 ✺
19.01.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Bournemouth	1:1 ✺
English FA Cup
10.01.26	Newcastle United - Bournemouth	4:3 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.8 TWWTL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
02.12.25	Bournemouth - Everton	0:1
Premier League Summer Series
26.07.25	Everton - Bournemouth	0:3
English FA Cup
08.02.25	Everton - Bournemouth	0:2
English Premier League
04.01.25	Bournemouth - Everton	1:0
31.08.24	Everton - Bournemouth	2:3
30.03.24	Bournemouth - Everton	2:1
07.10.23	Everton - Bournemouth	3:0

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