Match Info

Premier League - Round 12

Date: 24 November 2025, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Old Trafford (Manchester) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Harrington T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 1, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	21:00	SuperSport 2
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Azerbaijan	00:00	Idman TV
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1
Brazil	17:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	04:00	Migu, QQ Sports
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium, V Sport Ultra
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 1
Germany	21:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Greece	22:00	Nova Sports Premier League, Nova Sports Prime
Haiti	15:00	Canal+ Sport 2
Hong Kong	04:00	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
India	01:30	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	03:00	Vidio
Iran	23:30	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 1
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport Uno
Japan	05:00	U-NEXT
Kenya	23:00	Gotv
Kosovo	21:00	Arena Premium 1, SuperSport 2
Malaysia	04:00	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	01:00	Medianet
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	14:00	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 2
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	01:45	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	09:00	SKY Go NZ
Nigeria	21:00	Supersport Maximo 1, Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Norway	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Voyo
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	22:00	SuperSport Grandstand, Supersport Maximo 1, SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	05:00	Coupang Play
Spain	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Espana, DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Thailand	03:00	AIS PLAY
Turkey	23:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Digiturk
United Kingdom	20:00	NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	NBC Sports App, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, USA Network
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	K+ Sport 1, K+, TV 360


	Manchester United		Everton

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.7	4.1
	1.88	3.85	4.05
	1.89	3.88	4.17
	1.70	3.93	4.76	Watch
	1.92	3.87	4.26	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.85 ↑ (1.7)	3.85 ↓ (3.93)	4.27 ↓ (4.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Manchester United
52.3%

Draw
25.1%

Everton
22.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55.9%

24.2%

20%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.1%

22.9%

19%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Manchester United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+5.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Manchester United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.4%	8%	3.6%

Manchester United - Everton Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -2.5 - Man Utd (6.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Everton (1.97) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS, 1st Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Manchester United will win (98 of 111 users predict this - 88.29%).
Confidence interval (95%): 82.31% – 94.27%. The data is statistically significant.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Manchester United will win (38 of 43 users predict this - 88.37%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 45 Selected Experts predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 39 - 86.7%). Everton (votes: 2 - 4.4%). Tie (votes: 4 - 8.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lammens S. (G) 15. Yoro L. 4. de Ligt M. 23. Shaw L. 3. Mazraoui N. 18. Casemiro 8. Fernandes B. (C) 13. Dorgu P. 19. Mbeumo B. 16. Diallo A. 11. Zirkzee J.	1. Pickford J. (G) 23. Coleman S. (C) 6. Tarkowski J. 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 10. Ndiaye I. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 18. Grealish J. 11. Barry T.
Substitutes
1. Bayindir A. (G) 2. Dalot D. 26. Heaven A. 61. Lacey S. 37. Mainoo K. 12. Malacia T. 6. Martinez Li. 7. Mount M. 25. Ugarte M.	24. Alcaraz C. 39. Aznou A. 9. Beto 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 31. King T. (G) 7. McNeil D. 15. O'Brien J. 12. Travers M. (G)
Coaches
Amorim R.	Moyes D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
10', Coleman S. ↓, O'Brien J. ↑,
13', Gueye I. 🟥,
29', 0 - 1, Dewsbury-Hall K. ⚽,
45+2', Mbeumo B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Mazraoui N. ↓, Mount M. ↑,
50', Casemiro 🟨,
58', Casemiro ↓, Mainoo K. ↑,
58', Dorgu P. ↓, Dalot D. ↑,
82', Ndiaye I. ↓, Beto ↑,
82', Barry T. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,
88', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, Alcaraz C. ↑,
88', Grealish J. ↓, McNeil D. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 10 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 3.

Man Utd is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Everton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Man Utd is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Man Utd: Maguire H. (Hamstring Injury) Sesko B. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Hamstring Injury) Rohl M. (Muscle Injury)

There are questionable in Man Utd: Mainoo K. (Injury)

We predict that Man Utd will win today's game, with odds of 1.78.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 12 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 43:19. (average 2.2:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 28:9. (average 2.5:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Manchester United
English Premier League
08.11.25	Tottenham Hotspur - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
01.11.25	Nottingham Forest - Manchester United	2:2 ✺
25.10.25	Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion	4:2 ✺
19.10.25	Liverpool - Manchester United	1:2 ✺
04.10.25	Manchester United - Sunderland	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.1 TTWWW
- Everton
English Premier League
08.11.25	Everton - Fulham	2:0 ✺
03.11.25	Sunderland - Everton	1:1 ✺
26.10.25	Everton - Tottenham Hotspur	0:3 ✺
18.10.25	Manchester City - Everton	2:0 ✺
05.10.25	Everton - Crystal Palace	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTLLW

Latest Head to Head

Premier League Summer Series
03.08.25	Manchester United - Everton	2:2
English Premier League
22.02.25	Everton - Manchester United	2:2
01.12.24	Manchester United - Everton	4:0
09.03.24	Manchester United - Everton	2:0
26.11.23	Everton - Manchester United	0:3
08.04.23	Manchester United - Everton	2:0
English FA Cup
06.01.23	Manchester United - Everton	3:1

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