Match Info

Premier League - Round 31

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Hill Dickinson Stadium (Liverpool)

Referee: Barrott S. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 3, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	SuperSport 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	Toffee Live
Belgium	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	ESPN
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 1
Brazil	Claro TV+, Disney+, Sky+, Vivo Play, Xsports
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network 5 DRM, FuboTV
China	Migu, QQ Sports
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech-republic	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	TV3+, Viaplay
Ecuador	ESPN
Europe	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay, V Sport Premium
France	beIN Sports 3, CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong-kong	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	Spiler1 TV, TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	SÝN Sport
India	Disney+ Hotstar, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	SCTV, Vidio
Ireland	NOW
Israel	Sport 1
Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio
Japan	U-NEXT
Kenya	Gotv
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3, SuperSport 2
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Malaysia	Astro Go, Astro Grandstand, Astro Premier League, Canal+, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2, Sooka
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	HBO Max, TNT Go, TNT Sports
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport 6, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Pakistan	ARY ZAP
Paraguay	ESPN
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Philippines	Setanta Sports
Poland	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	Voyo
Serbia	Arena Premium 3, Arena Sport 1
Singapore	Hub Premier 1
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Arena Sport 1
South-africa	SuperSport Premier League
South-korea	Coupang Play
Spain	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	Viaplay, V Sport Premium
Switzerland	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
Taiwan	ELTA Sports 1
Tajikistan	Futbol TV, Setanta Sports 1
Thailand	AIS PLAY
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United-kingdom	BBC Radio 5 Live, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	NBC Sports App, NBC Universo, NBC, Peacock TV Premium, Peacock, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter
Vietnam	FPT Play
World	Sport 24, Sport 24 At Sea


	Everton		Chelsea

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.4	2.25
	3.3	3.4	2.15
	3.2	3.4	2.28
	3.25	3.48	2.33
	3.32	3.49	2.2	Watch
	3.2	3.25	2.2
	3.43	3.49	2.29	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.26 ↓ (3.71)	3.42 ↓ (3.87)	2.24 ↑ (1.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Everton
29.4%

Draw
28%

Chelsea
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.9%

24.8%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

24.9%

49.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Everton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

Chelsea has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Chelsea might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Everton than the current prediction. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Chelsea than the current prediction. (+6.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Chelsea could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
17%	21.3%	61.7%

Everton - Chelsea Predictions

Users Predictions: 45 users predict this event. Everton will win (votes: 8 - 17.8%). Chelsea will win (votes: 29 - 64.4%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 17.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chelsea: 50.4% – 78.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 3 - 60%). Chelsea (votes: 2 - 40%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Everton (2.36) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Chelsea (1.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Everton (votes: 4 - 57.1%). Chelsea (votes: 3 - 42.9%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Pickford J. (G) 15. O'Brien J. 6. Tarkowski J. (C) 5. Keane M. 16. Mykolenko V. 37. Garner J. 27. Gueye I. 7. McNeil D. 22. Dewsbury-Hall K. 10. Ndiaye I. 9. Beto	1. Sanchez R. (G) 27. Gusto M. 29. Fofana W. 21. Hato J. 3. Cucurella M. 45. Lavia R. 25. Caicedo M. 10. Palmer C. 8. Fernandez E. (C) 7. Neto P. 20. Joao Pedro
Substitutes
45. Armstrong H. 11. Barry T. 32. Branthwaite J. 23. Coleman S. 20. Dibling T. 42. Iroegbunam T. 2. Patterson N. 34. Rohl M. 12. Travers M. (G)	34. Acheampong J. 4. Adarabioyo T. 17. Andrey Santos 9. Delap L. 14. Essugo D. 41. Estêvão 49. Garnacho A. 19. Sarr M. 28. Sharman-Lowe T. (G)
Coaches
Moyes D.	Rosenior L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
33', 1 - 0, Beto ⚽, Garner J. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Gusto M. ↓, Garnacho A. ↑,
57', Lavia R. ↓, Andrey Santos ↑,
62', 2 - 0, Beto ⚽, Gueye I. (A),
69', Garnacho A. 🟨,
70', Neto P. ↓, Estêvão ↑,
76', 3 - 0, Ndiaye I. ⚽, Beto (A),
78', McNeil D. ↓, Branthwaite J. ↑,
78', Caicedo M. ↓, Adarabioyo T. ↑,
78', Joao Pedro ↓, Delap L. ↑,
81', Beto ↓, Barry T. ↑,
87', Fofana W. 🟨,
89', Ndiaye I. ↓, Rohl M. ↑,
89', Dewsbury-Hall K. ↓, Iroegbunam T. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 6)

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Everton won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Chelsea may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Chelsea could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Everton: Alcaraz C. (Injury) George T. (Loan agreement) Grealish J. (Foot Injury)

There will not play in Chelsea: Chalobah T. (Ankle Injury) Colwill L. (Knee Injury) James R. (Hamstring Injury) Jorgensen F. (Groin Injury) Mudryk M. (Suspended)

There are questionable in Everton: Branthwaite J. (Injury) Tarkowski J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Chelsea: Gittens J. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Everton won 5 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 13:32. (average 0.7:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Everton won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:5. (average 1:0.6).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Chelsea: 5.71% Everton: 0.44%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6:3	3	9
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10:12	-2	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Everton
English Premier League
14.03.26	Arsenal - Everton	2:0 ✺
03.03.26	Everton - Burnley	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	Newcastle United - Everton	2:3 ✺
23.02.26	Everton - Manchester United	0:1 ✺
10.02.26	Everton - Bournemouth	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 LWWLL
- Chelsea
UEFA Champions League
17.03.26	Chelsea - Paris Saint-Germain	0:3 ✺
English Premier League
14.03.26	Chelsea - Newcastle United	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
11.03.26	Paris Saint-Germain - Chelsea	5:2 ✺
English FA Cup
07.03.26	Wrexham - Chelsea	2:4 ET ✺
English Premier League
04.03.26	Aston Villa - Chelsea	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.1 LLLWW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
13.12.25	Chelsea - Everton	2:0
26.04.25	Chelsea - Everton	1:0
22.12.24	Everton - Chelsea	0:0
15.04.24	Chelsea - Everton	6:0
10.12.23	Everton - Chelsea	2:0
18.03.23	Chelsea - Everton	2:2
06.08.22	Everton - Chelsea	0:1

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