The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Everton 39.2%
Draw 26.7%
Newcastle United 34.1%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
53.1%
23.3%
23.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
54.4%
22.7%
23%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Everton has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-13.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Everton's form might have worsened.
Newcastle United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Newcastle United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Everton than the current prediction. (+15.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Everton, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle United than the current prediction. (-11.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Newcastle United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Everton - Newcastle United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
24. Foster R. (G) 3. Ishikawa R. 20. Finnigan M. (C) 25. Silcock H. 13. Kitagawa H. 6. Hayashi H. 22. Galli A. 11. Cain H. 17. Mouchon N. 15. Rantala J. 18. Vignola O.
1. Tamminen A. (C) 2. Wardlaw C. 15. Nemeth H. 23. Evans G. 33. Kiernan L. 22. Joel L. 14. Larsson E. 20. Sevenius O. 53. Richardson A. 99. Cataldo L. 9. McGovern K.
Substitutes
2. Blundell H. 1. Brosnan C. (G) 5. Layzell N. 30. Mace R. 9. McNamara H. 29. Momiki Y. 33. Pacheco M. 8. van Gool R. 7. Wheeler C.
24. Akpan A. 19. Bradley K. 30. Gale J. 45. Gregson C. 10. Lambert M. 5. Purfield J. 12. Rendell K. (G) 3. Stokes D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Tamminen A. ↓, Rendell K. ↑,
48', Kiernan L. 🟨,
60', McGovern K. ↓, Gale J. ↑,
62', Mouchon N. ↓, Momiki Y. ↑,
65', Cataldo L. 🟨,
66', Vignola O. 🟨,
71', Richardson A. ↓, Akpan A. ↑,
72', Kiernan L. ↓, Lambert M. ↑,
72', Ishikawa R. ↓, Wheeler C. ↑,
72', Rantala J. ↓, Pacheco M. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Vignola O. ⚽,
84', 2 - 0, Vignola O. ⚽, Wheeler C. (A),
85', Cataldo L. ↓, Purfield J. ↑,
86', Hayashi H. ↓, van Gool R. ↑,
Preview
Each of the two teams is seeking greater consistency after recent ups and downs.
Everton carries the favorite tag into this contest.
In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Everton has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 5:2 (averaging 2.5:1 goals per game).
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Foster R. (G) 
Ishikawa R. 
Finnigan M. (C) 
Galli A. 
Cain H. 
Mouchon N. 
Rantala J. 
Vignola O. 
Wardlaw C. 
Nemeth H. 
Kiernan L. 
Larsson E. 
McNamara H. 
van Gool R. 
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