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Current Win Probability
De Treffers 51.6%
Draw 26.6%
Excelsior Maassluis 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55.3%
24%
20.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
58.3%
22.8%
19.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
De Treffers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for De Treffers than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for De Treffers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-2.2%)
De Treffers - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Stoskovic P. (G) 3. Langeveld T. 2. Zeller M. 21. van Ginkel J. 24. Brussaard B. 16. Hazzat R. 8. van der Heijden S. (C) 18. van Strien R. 11. Vlijter G. 10. den Dekker W. 17. van Bakel S.
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 30. Hamd Y. 6. van Eerden J. 14. Verbont Y. 8. Udenhout J. 24. Lopes Varela D. 27. Plank D. 9. Wennekers B. 11. Tavares Q.
Substitutes
31. Frehe C. (G) 6. Ippel R. 4. Joppen G. 7. Maertzdorf C. 15. van Beukering J. 9. Waterink T. 22. Yadir A.
26. Bronder S. 4. Heuvelman D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 23. Pina S. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 19. van der Velden S.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
9', 0 - 1, Tavares Q. ⚽,
33', 1 - 1, van Ginkel J. ⚽, van Bakel S. (A),
43', 2 - 1, van der Heijden S. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
52', 3 - 1, van Bakel S. ⚽,
57', Lopes Varela D. 🟨,
61', Verbont Y. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
68', 4 - 1, Brussaard B. ⚽,
69', Hamd Y. ↓, Heuvelman D. ↑,
69', Plank D. ↓, van der Velden S. ↑,
70', van Bakel S. ↓, Yadir A. ↑,
70', den Dekker W. ↓, Waterink T. ↑,
70', Hazzat R. ↓, Ippel R. ↑,
82', van Strien R. ↓, van Beukering J. ↑,
82', Vlijter G. ↓, Maertzdorf C. ↑,
84', Udenhout J. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
84', van Eerden J. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 7 and 15).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, De Treffers won 4.
De Treffers is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Excelsior Maassluis has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Excelsior Maassluis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Excelsior Maassluis has had a series of home games.
In this match, De Treffers is considered a favorite.
We predict that De Treffers will win today's game, with odds of 1.6.
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, De Treffers won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:13. (average 1.5:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, De Treffers won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).