Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)


	Excelsior Maassluis		GVVV

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.3	2.2
	2.45	3.4	2.42	Watch
	2.41	3.49	2.61
	2.76	3.82	2.24	Watch
	2.45	3.1	2.5
	2.64	3.83	2.33	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.59 ↓ (2.74)	3.48 ↓ (3.72)	2.36 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
35.2%

Draw
26.2%

GVVV
38.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.9%

25%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

23.9%

43%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

GVVV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for GVVV than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Excelsior Maassluis - GVVV Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. El Fakiri K. (G) 24. Lopes Varela D. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 8. Udenhout J. 4. Heuvelman D. 30. Hamd Y. 10. Madi A. 6. van Eerden J. 14. Verbont J. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q.	1. van Kouwen R. (G) 22. Dumay Q. 3. Willems M. 8. Maguire B. (C) 20. Potjes J. 23. Vink W. 2. Dilrosun T. 10. Veenhof Q. 43. Menelik A. 21. Spies J. 6. van Soest A.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 21. Nagtegaal N. 12. Riley B. 17. Slagveer D. 1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 19. van der Velden S. 9. Wennekers B.	15. de Leeuw D. 31. Evora E. (G) 4. Hillen K. 9. Latif I. 14. Meeuwsen K. 7. Sint V. 29. Slijkhuis G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Menelik A. 🟨,
27', Heuvelman D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Menelik A. ↓, de Leeuw D. ↑,
46', van Soest A. ↓, Latif I. ↑,
62', 0 - 1, Spies J. ⚽,
65', van Eerden J. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Spies J. ⚽, Veenhof Q. (A),
79', Madi A. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
79', Verbont J. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
79', Lopes Varela D. ↓, van der Velden S. ↑,
79', Veenhof Q. ↓, Sint V. ↑,
86', Vink W. ↓, Hillen K. ↑,
86', Spies J. ↓, Slijkhuis G. ↑,
88', Ringeling K. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
89', Dilrosun T. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:12. (average 1.1:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:5. (average 0.7:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.03.26	ACV - Excelsior Maassluis	3:1 ✺
07.03.26	RKAV Volendam - Excelsior Maassluis	4:0 ✺
28.02.26	Excelsior Maassluis - HSV Hoek	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Jong Sparta Rotterdam - Excelsior Maassluis	0:4 ✺
14.02.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Rijnsburgse Boys	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LLWWL
- GVVV
Dutch Tweede Divisie
14.03.26	GVVV - RKAV Volendam	1:3 ✺
07.03.26	HSV Hoek - GVVV	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	GVVV - Jong Sparta Rotterdam	3:0 ✺
21.02.26	Spakenburg - GVVV	3:2 ✺
14.02.26	GVVV - BVV Barendrecht	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.10.25	GVVV - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1
22.03.25	GVVV - Excelsior Maassluis	1:0
19.10.24	Excelsior Maassluis - GVVV	0:1
16.03.24	Excelsior Maassluis - GVVV	2:0
07.10.23	GVVV - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1
09.04.22	Excelsior Maassluis - GVVV	0:3
30.10.21	GVVV - Excelsior Maassluis	0:2

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