Match Info

Tweede Divisie - Relegation - Final

Date: 10 June 2026, Wednesday

Location: Sportpark Dijkpolder (Maassluis)


	Excelsior Maassluis		IJsselmeervogels

	1	X	2
	2.35	3.25	2.55
	2.35	3.40	2.55
	2.42	3.39	2.71
	2.19	3.42	3.12	Watch
	2.38	3.10	2.62
	2.17	3.71	2.96	Watch
	2.14	3.35	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.29 ↑ (2.14)	3.37 ↑ (3.35)	2.74 ↑ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Maassluis
39.8%

Draw
27%

IJsselmeervogels
33.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

26.3%

32.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.6%

26.6%

32.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)

IJsselmeervogels has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for IJsselmeervogels than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Excelsior Maassluis - IJsselmeervogels Predictions

Users Predictions: Excelsior Maassluis will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 24. Lopes Varela D. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 4. Heuvelman D. 2. Tureaij C. 6. van Eerden J. 10. Madi A. 30. Hamd Y. 17. Slagveer D. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q.	20. Kaarsgaren B. (G) 2. van de Groep G. 22. Schuurman J. (C) 27. Mattheij J. 77. Kuisch G. 33. Van Bohemen C. 26. Campman B. 6. Schulte R. 10. Dkidak A. 11. Hardijk M. 9. Beers J.
Substitutes
39. Boukhari H. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 21. Nagtegaal N. 12. Riley B. 29. Smits S. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B.	8. Butter N. 19. Ignacio R. 28. Janssen J. 29. Martis B. 24. Robertha G. 14. Ruizendaal J. 25. Stiemer D. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
27', 1 - 0, Madi A. ⚽,
31', Tureaij C. ↓, Riley B. ↑,
45+1', Slagveer D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Schulte R. ↓, Butter N. ↑,
46', Hardijk M. ↓, Robertha G. ↑,
59', Butter N. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Dkidak A. ⚽,
64', Kuisch G. 🟨,
66', Slagveer D. ↓, Verbont J. ↑,
68', Beers J. ↓, Ignacio R. ↑,
73', Riley B. 🟨,
84', Plank D. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
84', Madi A. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
86', Campman B. ↓, Ruizendaal J. ↑,
90', Dkidak A. ↓, Martis B. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 1, Ringeling K. ⚽, Wennekers B. (A),

Preview

First leg.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 2.

Right now, both teams are showing solid form.

Excelsior Maassluis might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:17. (average 1.1:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:12. (average 0.8:2.4).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	IJsselmeervogels	7	4	1	2	10:5	5	13

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Maassluis
Dutch Tweede Divisie
06.06.26	Excelsior Maassluis - Rijnvogels	3:1 penalties ✺
03.06.26	Rijnvogels - Excelsior Maassluis	2:1 ✺
30.05.26	Excelsior Maassluis - VVSB	3:0 ✺
27.05.26	VVSB - Excelsior Maassluis	1:1 ✺
23.05.26	BVV Barendrecht - Excelsior Maassluis	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLWTW
- IJsselmeervogels
Dutch Tweede Divisie
06.06.26	IJsselmeervogels - ADO 20 Heemskerk	1:0 ✺
03.06.26	ADO 20 Heemskerk - IJsselmeervogels	0:7 ✺
30.05.26	IJsselmeervogels - Sparta Nijkerk	2:1 ✺
27.05.26	Sparta Nijkerk - IJsselmeervogels	0:3 ✺
23.05.26	IJsselmeervogels - ACV	2:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Dutch Tweede Divisie
18.04.26	IJsselmeervogels - Excelsior Maassluis	0:0
15.11.25	Excelsior Maassluis - IJsselmeervogels	0:4
04.02.23	IJsselmeervogels - Excelsior Maassluis	2:3
10.09.22	Excelsior Maassluis - IJsselmeervogels	2:2
16.04.22	IJsselmeervogels - Excelsior Maassluis	0:2
31.08.19	Excelsior Maassluis - IJsselmeervogels	1:3
09.02.19	IJsselmeervogels - Excelsior Maassluis	2:2

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