The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
VVSB 32.2%
Draw 26%
Excelsior Maassluis 41.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
25.2%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36.5%
23.8%
38.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
VVSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVSB than the current prediction. (+4.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-3.7%)
VVSB - Excelsior Maassluis Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Warmerdam M. (G) 5. Hooi D. 28. van Breukelen D. 23. Ossendrijver M. 8. Bloemendaal T. 6. Rauws L. 14. Van Wetten N. 29. Wolters T. 11. van Velzen G. 9. van Nieuwkerk J. (C) 19. Owobowale S.
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 8. Udenhout J. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 12. Riley B. 30. Hamd Y. 6. van Eerden J. 19. van der Velden S. 11. Tavares Q. 27. Plank D. 10. Madi A.
Substitutes
27. Duivenvoorde N. 24. Kleijweg T. 18. Kuyvenhoven R. 12. Neral J. 30. Riel J. (G) 4. Sekeris G. 21. Verver G.
26. Bronder S. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 4. Heuvelman D. 24. Lopes Varela D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 17. Slagveer D. 9. Wennekers B.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
8', Udenhout J. 🟨,
9', Owobowale S. 🟨,
24', van Nieuwkerk J. 🟨,
32', van der Velden S. 🟨,
43', 0 - 1, Ringeling K. ⚽, van der Velden S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', van der Velden S. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
62', van Velzen G. ↓, Verver G. ↑,
70', Rauws L. ↓, Kleijweg T. ↑,
70', Wolters T. ↓, Kuyvenhoven R. ↑,
77', Madi A. ↓, Slagveer D. ↑,
80', Van Wetten N. ↓, Duivenvoorde N. ↑,
84', 1 - 1, Owobowale S. ⚽, Hooi D. (A),
86', Hamd Y. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
86', van Eerden J. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
Preview
First leg.
VVSB is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Excelsior Maassluis's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
VVSB may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, VVSB won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 1.2:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, VVSB won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:4. (average 1.7:1.3).