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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 55.9%
Draw 22.4%
Rijnvogels 21.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
49.7%
24.5%
25.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.9%
25.1%
25.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Maassluis's performance.
Rijnvogels has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rijnvogels than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
Excelsior Maassluis - Rijnvogels Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 24. Lopes Varela D. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 8. Udenhout J. 2. Tureaij C. 30. Hamd Y. 6. van Eerden J. 10. Madi A. 17. Slagveer D. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q.
23. Van de Riet D. (G) 2. Gomez-Nieto K. 3. Zeeman Sam 4. Michel K. (C) 6. Zandbergen J. 5. Scholten J. 8. Driebergen J. 10. van der Wiel B. 26. van der Plas D. 20. Assendelft J. 9. van der Meer M.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 4. Heuvelman D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 12. Riley B. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B.
21. Charai I. 22. Haddadi N. 19. Koppenol S. 17. Mercera A. 16. Roffelsen N. 1. van der Plas P. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
18', 1 - 0, Ringeling K. ⚽, Madi A. (A),
26', Assendelft J. ↓, Koppenol S. ↑,
42', 2 - 0, Tavares Q. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Slagveer D. ↓, Verbont J. ↑,
61', Udenhout J. 🟨,
68', Zandbergen J. ↓, Haddadi N. ↑,
73', Madi A. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
76', Michel K. ↓, Charai I. ↑,
76', van der Wiel B. ↓, Mercera A. ↑,
79', Tavares Q. ↓, Heuvelman D. ↑,
84', Hamd Y. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
84', Lopes Varela D. ↓, Riley B. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, van der Meer M. ⚽, Charai I. (A),
90+1', Haddadi N. 🟨,
Extra Time (0 - 0)
105+2', Tureaij C. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
108', Haddadi N. ↓, Roffelsen N. ↑,
111', Driebergen J. 🟨,
Penalties (5 - 4)
1, Plank D. (Penalty Awarded),
1, van der Meer M. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Wennekers B. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Gomez-Nieto K. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Verbont J. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Charai I. (Penalty Awarded),
4, van Eerden J. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Mercera A. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Ringeling K. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Roffelsen N. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Heuvelman D. (Penalty Awarded),
6, Van de Riet D. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Van der Kleij T. (Penalty Awarded),
7, Scholten J. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
First leg result: 1-2.
Excelsior Maassluis has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Rijnvogels is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Excelsior Maassluis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Excelsior Maassluis is considered a favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Excelsior Maassluis won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.
Watch
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Van der Kleij T. (G) 
Mercera A. 
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