The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 54.5%
Draw 23.8%
VVSB 21.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
50.4%
24.2%
25.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.6%
25.7%
23.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)
VVSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for VVSB than the current prediction. (+2%)
Excelsior Maassluis - VVSB Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 24. Lopes Varela D. 8. Udenhout J. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 2. Tureaij C. 10. Madi A. 6. van Eerden J. 30. Hamd Y. 17. Slagveer D. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q.
1. Warmerdam M. (G) 8. Bloemendaal T. 28. van Breukelen D. 23. Ossendrijver M. 5. Hooi D. 29. Wolters T. 10. van Esveld J. 14. Van Wetten N. 20. Owobowale S. 9. van Nieuwkerk J. (C) 11. van Velzen G.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 4. Heuvelman D. 21. Nagtegaal N. 12. Riley B. 14. Verbont J. 9. Wennekers B.
27. Duivenvoorde N. 24. Kleijweg T. 18. Kuyvenhoven R. 2. Neral J. 6. Rauws L. 30. Riel J. (G) 21. Verver G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
1', 1 - 0, van Eerden J. ⚽, Udenhout J. (A),
45+1', 2 - 0, Slagveer D. ⚽, Tureaij C. (A),
45+3', van Eerden J. 🟨,
45+3', Hooi D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', van Esveld J. ↓, Verver G. ↑,
46', Wolters T. ↓, Kleijweg T. ↑,
46', Ossendrijver M. ↓, Rauws L. ↑,
59', Madi A. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
59', Hamd Y. ↓, Nagtegaal N. ↑,
64', van Velzen G. ↓, Kuyvenhoven R. ↑,
76', Slagveer D. ↓, Verbont J. ↑,
77', Van Wetten N. ↓, Duivenvoorde N. ↑,
79', 3 - 0, Verbont J. ⚽, Wennekers B. (A),
81', Tavares Q. ↓, Bronder S. ↑,
81', Lopes Varela D. ↓, Heuvelman D. ↑,
Preview
First leg result: 1-1.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 2.
Excelsior Maassluis is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
VVSB is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Excelsior Maassluis may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Excelsior Maassluis is a strong favorite.
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.7:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 2.5:0.5).
Watch
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Van der Kleij T. (G) 
Hooi D. 
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