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Current Win Probability
Excelsior Maassluis 39.7%
Draw 23.9%
Jong Almere City 36.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.7%
23.6%
33.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
44.6%
24.6%
32.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Excelsior Maassluis has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
Jong Almere City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excelsior Maassluis than the current prediction. (+4.9%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jong Almere City than the current prediction. (-4.1%)
Excelsior Maassluis - Jong Almere City Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Van der Kleij T. (G) 2. Tureaij C. 10. Madi A. 3. Ringeling K. (C) 8. Udenhout J. 12. Riley B. 30. Hamd Y. 21. Nagtegaal N. 27. Plank D. 11. Tavares Q. 17. Slagveer D.
31. Mateyo M. (G) 58. Apinsa D. 33. van Gom J. 45. Pennock B. 27. Pinas J. 35. Kuiper J. 38. Lenssen L. 36. Lever S. (C) 46. Smit M. 49. Bais A. 37. Ghogli I.
Substitutes
26. Bronder S. 16. El Fakiri K. (G) 18. Hulshoff D. 24. Lopes Varela D. 19. van der Velden S. 6. van Eerden J. 9. Wennekers B.
44. Abdulmahmoud S. 42. de Beer J. 57. Hagedoorn S. 39. Nsingi J. 41. Reit N. (G) 50. Saygi M. A. 53. Zijsling J.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
38', Kuiper J. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Tavares Q. 🟨,
60', Bais A. ↓, Hagedoorn S. ↑,
62', Nagtegaal N. ↓, Lopes Varela D. ↑,
73', 0 - 1, Ghogli I. ⚽, Lever S. (A),
74', Madi A. ↓, van Eerden J. ↑,
79', Slagveer D. ↓, van der Velden S. ↑,
79', Plank D. ↓, Wennekers B. ↑,
79', Riley B. ↓, Hulshoff D. ↑,
90', Ghogli I. ↓, Zijsling J. ↑,
90+4', Wennekers B. 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 17 in the zone Tweede Divisie (Relegation) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 1.
Excelsior Maassluis is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Jong Almere City has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Excelsior Maassluis won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 2:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Excelsior Maassluis won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:6. (average 2.7:2).
Watch
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Van der Kleij T. (G) 
Apinsa D. 
Saygi M. A. 
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