Match Info

National Division 1 - ACFF - Promotion Group - Round 10

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Stade Yvan Georges (Virton)


	Excelsior Virton		Habay-la-Neuve

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.15	7.7
	1.27	5.37	8.36
	1.28	5.51	8.02	Watch
	1.25	4.8	8.5
	1.25	5.2	9.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.26 ↓ (1.38)	5.21 ↑ (4.59)	8.35 ↑ (6.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excelsior Virton
71.7%

Draw
17.4%

Habay-la-Neuve
10.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

65.9%

19.8%

14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.3%

18.8%

13.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excelsior Virton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excelsior Virton's performance.

Habay-la-Neuve has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excelsior Virton than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Habay-la-Neuve than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Excelsior Virton - Habay la Neuve Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
51', 1 - 0, ⚽,
80', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

Virton is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Habay-la-Neuve is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, Virton is the clear favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Virton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:9. (average 2:3).

Including home match between the teams, Virton won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Habay La Neuve	7	1	2	4	5:10	-5	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Excelsior Virton
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
03.05.26	Union Rochefortoise - Excelsior Virton	3:5 ✺
25.04.26	Excelsior Virton - Meux	2:0 ✺
18.04.26	Mons - Excelsior Virton	0:2 ✺
11.04.26	Tubize - Excelsior Virton	2:1 ✺
28.03.26	Excelsior Virton - Union Rochefortoise	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 WWWLW
- RSC Habay-la-Neuve
Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
03.05.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Mons	0:1 ✺
25.04.26	Union Rochefortoise - Habay-la-Neuve	4:1 ✺
18.04.26	Tubize - Habay-la-Neuve	2:0 ✺
12.04.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Meux	1:2 ✺
29.03.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Tubize	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Belgian National Division 1 ACFF
01.03.26	Habay-la-Neuve - Excelsior Virton	3:1
31.01.26	Excelsior Virton - Habay-la-Neuve	3:0
31.08.25	Habay-la-Neuve - Excelsior Virton	6:2

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