Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 19

Date: 7 June 2025, Saturday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Excursionistas		Fénix

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.42	3.8	6.75
	1.39	4.15	7.7	Watch
	1.41	3.97	8.05	Watch
	1.44	3.7	7.5
	1.44	4.31	7
	1.39	4.15	7.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.42 ↓ (1.72)	4.01 ↑ (3.3)	7.45 ↑ (4.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
64.8%

Draw
22.9%

Fénix
12.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

27.5%

19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54%

26.9%

19.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Excursionistas's performance.

Fénix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fénix might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-10.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Excursionistas that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fénix than the current prediction. (+7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fénix could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Excursionistas - Fénix Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Vergara F. (G) 4. Schiavulli T. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Cahais M. 3. Mosca N. 8. Zarco H. 5. Zoratti G. 10. Lopez M. 11. Scaramuzzi E. 9. Zarate J. 7. Vera I.	1. Parra V. (G) 4. Bembo J. 2. Acosta M. 6. Ferro G. 3. Rodriguez J. 8. Busto J. 10. Perez F. 7. Anriquez D. 5. Diaz F. 9. Auteri S. 11. Aparicio G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Perez F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Zarco H. ↓, Pata L. ↑,
47', Scaramuzzi E. 🟨,
54', 1 - 0, Zarate J. (Pen),
55', 🟨,
60', Busto J. 🟨,
61', Busto J. ↓, Alric F. ↑,
63', Acosta M. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
63', Anriquez D. ↓, Rojas I. ↑,
67', Scaramuzzi E. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
71', Vera I. ↓, Sosa F. ↑,
75', Aparicio G. ↓, Meridione A. ↑,
80', Lopez M. ↓, Martinez M. ↑,
80', Zarate J. ↓, Parodi G. ↑,
90+2', Rodriguez J. 🟨,

Preview

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 11 and 21).

Recent performances by Excursionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Fénix has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Excursionistas is the obvious favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1. (average 1.5:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Excursionistas won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
01.06.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
28.05.25	Excursionistas - Argentinos Juniors	0:3 ✺
Argentinian Primera B
21.05.25	Comunicaciones - Excursionistas	0:1 ✺
09.05.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	1:0 ✺
03.05.25	San Martín de Burzaco - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLWWT
- CA Fénix Buenos Aires
Argentinian Primera B
02.06.25	Fénix - Acassuso	0:0 ✺
25.05.25	Brown de Adrogué - Fénix	2:0 ✺
19.05.25	Fénix - Argentino de Merlo	0:2 ✺
11.05.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Fénix	3:0 ✺
05.05.25	Fénix - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
21.10.24	Excursionistas - Fénix	3:1
01.06.24	Fénix - Excursionistas	0:0

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