The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
San Martín de Burzaco 30.6%
Draw 31.6%
Excursionistas 37.8%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
37%
31.1%
31.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
37.6%
30.6%
31.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
San Martín de Burzaco has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Martín de Burzaco's form might have worsened.
Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Excursionistas's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Martín de Burzaco than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Martín de Burzaco, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-6.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Excursionistas, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
25%
75%
San Martín de Burzaco - Excursionistas Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Rehak G. (G) 4. Escudero M. 13. Tobon J. 6. Diaz S. 3. Siliman A. 8. Ortigoza M. 5. Benitez F. 7. Treppo E. 11. Geneiro L. 20. Gimenez F. 9. Chavez B.
1. Cajal N. (G) 4. Arciero R. 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Cahais M. 3. Schiavulli T. 8. Zarco H. 5. Zoratti G. 11. Ferraro F. 7. Martinez M. 9. Zarate J. 10. Sosa F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
61', Ferraro F. ↓, Mosca N. ↑,
67', Gimenez F. ↓, Camejo J. ↑,
81', Geneiro L. 🟨,
Preview
A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 0.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Excursionistas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 15 head-to-head matches, SM de Burzaco won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 21:30. (average 1.4:2).
Including home matches between the teams, SM de Burzaco won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:15. (average 1.9:1.9).