Match Info

ARGENTINA: Primera B - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 7 October 2024, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Excursionistas		Los Andes

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.73	3.2	4.33
	1.9	3.1	4.33	Watch
	1.86	2.81	5.08
	1.83	3.21	4.37	Watch
	1.75	3.2	4.5
	1.82	3.2	4.53	Watch
	1.9	3.1	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.83 ↑ (1.6)	3.12 ↓ (3.45)	4.5 ↓ (5.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
50.2%

Draw
29.4%

Los Andes
20.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.9%

26.4%

16.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.5%

25.7%

16.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Excursionistas's form might have worsened.

Los Andes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Excursionistas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	0%	28.6%

Excursionistas - Los Andes Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Excursionistas will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Los Andes will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
40', 1 - 0, Torancio E. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Torancio E. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, Barrientos L. (Own goal),

Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 8 and 18).

Recent matches Excursionistas is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Los Andes has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

In this match Excursionistas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
28.09.24	Cañuelas - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
20.09.24	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	4:0 ✺
14.09.24	Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
07.09.24	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
01.09.24	Villa Dálmine - Excursionistas	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WWLTT
- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera B
29.09.24	Los Andes - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
21.09.24	San Martín de Burzaco - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
15.09.24	Los Andes - UAI Urquiza	0:2 ✺
09.09.24	Colegiales - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
31.08.24	Los Andes - Sportivo Dock Sud	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 TLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
18.05.24	Los Andes - Excursionistas	1:0

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