Match Info

Primera B - Round 30

Date: 15 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	LPF Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Excursionistas		Deportivo Laferrere

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.00	3.70
	1.88	2.95	4	Watch
	1.86	3.01	4.25
	1.87	3.11	4.25	Watch
	1.82	2.95	4.15
	1.87	3.02	4.29
	1.88	3	3.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.87 ↓ (1.91)	3.01 ↓ (3.1)	4.08 ↑ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
48%

Draw
29.9%

Deportivo Laferrere
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.6%

29.2%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8%

29.3%

23.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Deportivo Laferrere has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Laferrere than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Rodriguez N. (G) 11. Alaniz M. 3. Arango M. 8. Avalos A. 10. Blanco M. 7. Espeche A. 4. Fernandez M. 2. Ledesma D. 6. Pedrosa G. 9. Polvera M. 5. Zoratti G.	1. Morro M. (G) 8. Benitez A. 3. Denis J. 9. Moran J. 6. Nebot L. 10. Ortiz F. 4. Portillo B. 7. Romero F. 2. Solis D. 5. Trejo E. 11. Visco A.
Substitutes
12. Blengio M. (G) 19. Cardozo M. 16. Chambi L. 15. Damiolini N. 18. Gimenez W. 13. Maizarez I. 14. Paulides A. 17. Pereyra J. 20. Tellas G.	18. Atardo G. 20. Cavoret I. 15. Digangi M. 17. Digion R. 12. Libares T. (G) 16. Mamani L. 19. Rebecchi L. 13. Redondo J. P. 14. Vivas N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Polvera M. ⚽,
20', Avalos A. 🟨,
35', Pedrosa G. 🟨,
38', 2 - 0, Alaniz M. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 3)
46', 2 - 1, Moran J. ⚽,
50', 3 - 1, Espeche A. ⚽,
52', Fernandez M. 🟨,
53', Trejo E. 🟨,
54', 3 - 2, Denis J. ⚽,
64', Alaniz M. ↓, Paulides A. ↑,
67', Espeche A. ↓, Gimenez W. ↑,
69', Ledesma D. 🟨,
71', Fernandez M. 🟥,
74', 3 - 3, Visco A. ⚽,
77', Polvera M. ↓, Damiolini N. ↑,
77', Blanco M. ↓, Chambi L. ↑,
77', Ortiz F. ↓, Atardo G. ↑,
86', 4 - 3, Arango M. (Penalty Awarded),
89', Benitez A. ↓, Rebecchi L. ↑,
90+2', Trejo E. 🟨,
90+4', 5 - 3, Gimenez W. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera B (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 2.

Recent performances by Excursionistas have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Deportivo Laferrere is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Deportivo Laferrere may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Excursionistas is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Excursionistas won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:25. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Excursionistas won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:13. (average 1.4:1.2).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Excursionistas	38	22	8	8	59:30	29	74
10	Laferrere	38	13	12	13	46:50	-4	51

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
08.08.26	Brown de Adrogué - Excursionistas	1:0 ✺
31.07.26	Excursionistas - Deportivo Armenio	2:1 ✺
25.07.26	Deportivo Flandria - Excursionistas	1:1 ✺
18.07.26	Excursionistas - Argentino de Quilmes	0:0 ✺
14.07.26	Defensores Unidos - Excursionistas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 LWTTW
- Deportivo Laferrere
Argentinian Primera B
09.08.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Arsenal Sarandí	1:1 ✺
01.08.26	Argentino de Merlo - Deportivo Laferrere	1:3 ✺
26.07.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Talleres de Remedios de Escalada	0:2 ✺
18.07.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Ituzaingó	2:0 ✺
14.07.26	Brown de Adrogué - Deportivo Laferrere	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 TWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
04.04.26	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	1:0
20.10.25	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	1:2
01.06.25	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	2:0
20.09.24	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	4:0
05.05.24	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	2:3
Argentinian Primera C
04.09.23	Deportivo Laferrere - Excursionistas	1:1
25.04.23	Excursionistas - Deportivo Laferrere	0:0

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