Match Info

Primera B - Apertura - Round 13

Date: 25 April 2025, Friday

Location: Excursionistas Stadium (Buenos Aires)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Excursionistas		Sacachispas

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.2	4.6
	1.7	3.18	5.43
	1.7	3.2	5.33	Watch
	1.73	3.1	5
	1.73	3.24	5.11
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.71 ↓ (1.9)	3.18 ↑ (3.06)	5.09 ↑ (4.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Excursionistas
53.4%

Draw
28.7%

Sacachispas
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.6%

30.2%

21.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.5%

32%

20%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Excursionistas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Sacachispas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Excursionistas than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sacachispas than the current prediction. (+2.1%)

Excursionistas - Sacachispas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Cajal N. (G) 4. Arciero R. (C) 2. Igarzabal H. 6. Cahais M. 3. Zoratti G. 7. Martinez M. 8. Zarco H. 5. Peralta C. 10. Lopez M. 11. Sosa F. 9. Zarate J.	1. Troncoso F. (G) 4. Cena S. 2. Ortiz H. (C) 6. Barreto R. 3. Cruz A. 8. Oltmann J. C. 5. Priori R. 11. Barreiro E. 10. Visco A. 7. Martinez J. 9. Brotzman S.
Substitutes
15. Abre F. 16. Balbi L. 17. Ferraro F. 19. Mateo F. 13. Parodi G. 18. Pata L. 14. Schiavulli T. 20. Vera I. 12. Vergara F. (G)	17. Abregu E. 20. Arrieta S. 12. Bustamante P. (G) 18. Campuzano C. 14. Mancuso V. 13. Ruiz S. 15. Soria E. 19. Villalba J. 16. Zarate L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Martinez M. ⚽,
22', Martinez M. 🟨,
28', 2 - 0, Zarate J. ⚽,
29', Priori R. 🟨,
31', Cahais M. 🟨,
32', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Oltmann J. C. ↓, Villalba J. ↑,
46', Priori R. ↓, Abregu E. ↑,
58', Cena S. ↓, Soria E. ↑,
59', 2 - 1, Martinez J. ⚽,
66', Lopez M. ↓, Schiavulli T. ↑,
71', Brotzman S. ↓, Arrieta S. ↑,
74', Visco A. 🟨,
74', Martinez M. ↓, Ferraro F. ↑,
74', Zarate J. ↓, Vera I. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Schiavulli T. ⚽,
80', Zarco H. 🟨,
82', Visco A. ↓, Campuzano C. ↑,
83', Ortiz H. 🟨,
90+1', Arrieta S. 🟨,
90+5', Cruz A. 🟨,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 and 19).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Sacachispas could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Excursionistas is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Excursionistas won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:1 (average 1.7:0.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Excursionistas won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:1 (average 1:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Excursionistas
Argentinian Primera B
20.04.25	Deportivo Merlo - Excursionistas	3:2 ✺
12.04.25	Excursionistas - Sportivo Dock Sud	1:1 ✺
05.04.25	Villa San Carlos - Excursionistas	2:1 ✺
30.03.25	Excursionistas - Real Pilar	0:0 ✺
22.03.25	UAI Urquiza - Excursionistas	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTLTW
- Sacachispas FC
Argentinian Primera B
22.04.25	Sacachispas - Acassuso	1:1 ✺
12.04.25	Brown de Adrogué - Sacachispas	0:3 ✺
08.04.25	Sacachispas - Argentino de Merlo	1:2 ✺
29.03.25	Argentino de Quilmes - Sacachispas	1:1 ✺
22.03.25	Sacachispas - Villa Dálmine	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera B
07.09.24	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	1:1
21.04.24	Sacachispas - Excursionistas	0:3
Argentinian Primera C
11.06.16	Excursionistas - Sacachispas	1:0

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