Match Info

Date: 6 December 2020, Sunday


	Extremadura UD		Mérida AD

	1	X	2
	1.65	3.3	4.75
	1.7	3.15	5.3
	1.75	3.2	4.3
	1.71	3.33	4.8
	1.63	3.75	4.95
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.69 ↓ (1.78)	3.35 ↑ (3.35)	4.82 ↑ (4.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD
53.9%

Draw
27.2%

Mérida AD
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

26.9%

22.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

19.3%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Mérida AD has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (-17.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Extremadura UD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mérida AD than the current prediction. (+12.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Mérida AD could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Extremadura UD - Mérida AD Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 5 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Recent matches Extremadura UD is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Mérida AD is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Extremadura UD is a favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Extremadura UD won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Extremadura UD won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	Villanovense - Extremadura UD	2:1 ✺
22.11.20	Extremadura UD - Talavera de la Reina	2:2 ✺
14.11.20	Don Benito - Extremadura UD	1:2 ✺
08.11.20	Villarrobledo - Extremadura UD	0:1 ✺
31.10.20	Extremadura UD - Badajoz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWWL
- Mérida AD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
29.11.20	Mérida AD - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
22.11.20	Socuéllamos - Mérida AD	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.11.20	Moralo - Mérida AD	0:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
08.11.20	Mérida AD - Melilla	2:0 ✺
31.10.20	Villarrubia - Mérida AD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.05.18	Mérida AD - Extremadura UD	0:2
10.12.17	Extremadura UD - Mérida AD	3:0
12.03.17	Extremadura UD - Mérida AD	1:1
23.10.16	Mérida AD - Extremadura UD	5:1

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