Match Info

Date: 27 January 2021, Wednesday


	Extremadura UD		Don Benito

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.75	5.5
	1.52	4.2	4.5
	1.53	3.55	5.8
	1.54	3.99	6.72
	1.53	3.98	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↓ (1.77)	3.89 ↑ (3.12)	5.63 ↑ (4.54)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Extremadura UD
60.2%

Draw
23.6%

Don Benito
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.1%

29%

19.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.7%

18.6%

31.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Extremadura UD has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Extremadura UD's performance.

Don Benito has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Extremadura UD than the current prediction. (-27.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Extremadura UD that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Don Benito than the current prediction. (+14.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Don Benito could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Extremadura UD - Don Benito Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage) and 6 in the zone Promotion to Segunda Division B to Group 5 (Second stage)).

Two teams are playing changeable.

In this match Extremadura UD is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Extremadura UD won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Extremadura UD won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Extremadura UD
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
10.01.21	Extremadura UD - Socuéllamos	2:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
17.12.20	Extremadura UD - Socuéllamos	1:2 ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
13.12.20	Melilla - Extremadura UD	0:0 ✺
06.12.20	Extremadura UD - Mérida AD	1:1 ✺
29.11.20	Villanovense - Extremadura UD	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 WLTTL
- CD Don Benito
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
24.01.21	Don Benito - Badajoz	1:3 ✺
10.01.21	Don Benito - Villarrubia	3:1 ✺
13.12.20	Socuéllamos - Don Benito	4:1 ✺
06.12.20	Don Benito - Melilla	1:0 ✺
29.11.20	Mérida AD - Don Benito	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 5
14.11.20	Don Benito - Extremadura UD	1:2
Club Friendly
26.09.20	Extremadura UD - Don Benito	1:1
31.07.19	Don Benito - Extremadura UD	1:1

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