Match Info

Super Lig - Round 21

Date: 9 February 2026, Monday

Location: Kadir Has Stadium (Kayseri)

Referee: Saglam K. (Tur)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1


	Kayserispor		Kocaelispor

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.2	2.15	Watch
	2.8	3.25	2.45
	3.22	3.13	2.25
	3.46	3.26	2.29
	3.39	3.25	2.23	Watch
	3.25	3	2.2
	3.43	3.25	2.32	Watch
	3.33	3.14	2.16
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.29 ↑ (3.13)	3.19 ↑ (3.12)	2.26 ↑ (2.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kayserispor
28.7%

Draw
29.6%

Kocaelispor
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.4%

29.5%

41.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28%

28.1%

43.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kayserispor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Kocaelispor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kayserispor than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kocaelispor than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	42.9%	28.6%

Kayserispor - Kocaelispor Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Kayserispor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Kocaelispor will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 42.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 17% – 68.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Kocaelispor (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
27. Donmezer D. (G) 24. Tokoz D. 6. Guler S. 4. Denswil S. 23. Carole L. 15. Ait Bennasser Y. 61. Saglam G. 8. Benes L. 10. Mendes J. 7. Cardoso M. (C) 63. Chalov F.	35. Degirmenci G. (G) 2. Dijksteel A. 5. Balogh B. 6. Smolcic H. 21. Haidara M. 8. Keita H. 14. Show 75. Bingol T. 70. Keles C. 9. Petkovic B. 99. Rivas R.
Substitutes
30. Brenet J. 28. Civelek R. 17. Kapacak B. 2. Katongo J. 20. Mane C. 11. Mather S. 1. Piri O. (G) 99. Sariarslan T. 33. Soyalp F. 22. Tuci I.	7. Agyei D. 17. Churlinov D. 3. Cinan M. 19. Dursun S. 18. Gedik F. 98. Nonge J. 22. Oguz A. 83. Oztasdelen S. (G) 11. Sagat A. 20. Susoho M.
Coaches
Djalovic R.	Inan S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Ait Bennasser Y. 🟨,
45', Haidara M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Keles C. ↓, Susoho M. ↑,
46', Rivas R. ↓, Agyei D. ↑,
55', Saglam G. ↓, Mane C. ↑,
55', Ait Bennasser Y. ↓, Soyalp F. ↑,
62', Haidara M. ↓, Oguz A. ↑,
65', 0 - 1, Agyei D. ⚽, Oguz A. (A),
68', Chalov F. ↓, Tuci I. ↑,
69', Cardoso M. 🟨,
72', Bingol T. ↓, Churlinov D. ↑,
73', 0 - 2, Agyei D. ⚽, Churlinov D. (A),
77', Tokoz D. ↓, Brenet J. ↑,
77', Benes L. ↓, Sariarslan T. ↑,
81', Susoho M. ↓, Nonge J. ↑,
81', 1 - 2, Sariarslan T. ⚽, Mane C. (A),
83', Guler S. 🟨,
90+1', Denswil S. 🟨,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ 1. Lig and 9).

Neither of the teams is performing well right now.

Kayserispor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Kayserispor: Bayazit B. (Yellow Cards) Burak A. (Suspended) Celtik Y. (Knee Injury) Civelek R. (Yellow Cards)

There will not play in Kocaelispor: Linetty K. (Yellow Cards) Wieteska M. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Kayserispor: Hosseini M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kocaelispor: Jovanovic A. (Injury)

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kayserispor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Kocaelispor	7	4	0	3	8:6	2	12

Last Results with these Odds

Kocaelispor - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.12%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kayserispor
Turkish Super League
01.02.26	Galatasaray - Kayserispor	4:0 ✺
24.01.26	Kayserispor - İstanbul Başakşehir	0:3 ✺
19.01.26	Beşiktaş - Kayserispor	1:0 ✺
20.12.25	Konyaspor - Kayserispor	1:1 ✺
13.12.25	Kayserispor - Alanyaspor	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.8 LLLTT
- Kocaelispor
Turkish Cup
05.02.26	Kocaelispor - Beşiktaş	1:1 ✺
Turkish Super League
02.02.26	Kocaelispor - Fenerbahçe	0:2 ✺
24.01.26	Samsunspor - Kocaelispor	0:0 ✺
18.01.26	Kocaelispor - Trabzonspor	1:2 ✺
Turkish Cup
13.01.26	Gaziantep - Kocaelispor	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 TLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Turkish Super League
30.08.25	Kocaelispor - Kayserispor	1:1

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