Match Info

Date: 25 August 2022, Thursday

Location: Stade Jos Nosbaum (Dudelange)

Referee: Dabanovic N. (Mne)


	F91 Dudelange		Lech Poznań

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.75	1.9	Watch
	3.9	3.4	1.9
	4.45	3.5	1.85
	3.9	3.45	1.91
	4.19	3.51	1.91
				Watch
	3.82	3.48	1.88	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.01 ↓ (5)	3.52 ↓ (3.9)	1.89 ↑ (1.63)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

F91 Dudelange
23.5%

Draw
26.8%

Lech Poznań
49.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.7%

24%

57.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.7%

24%

57.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

F91 Dudelange has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Lech Poznań has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lech Poznań might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for F91 Dudelange than the current prediction. (-4.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lech Poznań than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lech Poznań could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
27.3%	12.1%	60.6%

F91 Dudelange - Lech Poznań Predictions

Users Predictions: 33 users predict this event. F91 Dudelange will win (votes: 9 - 27.3%). Lech will win (votes: 20 - 60.6%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lech: 43.9% – 77.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 0-2.

F91 Dudelange is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Lech is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lech could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lech is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches F91 Dudelange won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- F91 Dudelange
Luxembourg National Division
21.08.22	F91 Dudelange - Hostert	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Lech Poznań - F91 Dudelange	2:0 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
14.08.22	Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
11.08.22	F91 Dudelange - Malmö	2:2 ✺
Luxembourg National Division
08.08.22	F91 Dudelange - Jeunesse Esch	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WLWTW
- Lech Poznań
UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Lech Poznań - F91 Dudelange	2:0 ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
14.08.22	Lech Poznań - Śląsk Wrocław	0:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
11.08.22	Lech Poznań - Vikingur Reykjavik	4:1 ET ✺
Polish Ekstraklasa
07.08.22	Zagłębie Lubin - Lech Poznań	1:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
04.08.22	Vikingur Reykjavik - Lech Poznań	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.5 WLWTL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
18.08.22	Lech Poznań - F91 Dudelange	2:0

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