Match Info

BGL Ligue - Round 30

Date: 23 May 2026, Saturday


	Progrès Niedercorn		F91 Dudelange

	1	X	2
	2.65	3.4	2.25
	2.88	3.45	2.1
	2.62	3.5	2.25
	3.09	3.56	2.07	Watch
	2.88	3.4	2.05
	2.56	3.38	2.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.78 ↓ (3.2)	3.45 ↓ (3.58)	2.18 ↑ (1.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progrès Niedercorn
32.4%

Draw
26.2%

F91 Dudelange
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

25.4%

46.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.2%

25.6%

46.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progrès Niedercorn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

F91 Dudelange has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progrès Niedercorn than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for F91 Dudelange than the current prediction. (+5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. F91 Dudelange will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Flauss S. (G) 99. Baradji I. 19. Bouche Y. 17. Camara M. 77. Corral K. 11. Gilgemann M. 28. Guett A. 71. Hoxha F. 29. Oger M. 27. Peugnet V. 14. Sacras C. (C)	16. Latik E. (G) 77. Agostinho 3. Delorge K. (C) 6. Englaro I. 23. Gavioli I. 4. Goncalves Tavares R. 36. Kamavuaka W. 8. Monteiro D. 22. Morren C. 7. Rotundo E. 33. Stumpf C.
Substitutes
73. Ahmetxjekaj A. 9. Chambon H. 13. Cisse S. 50. Ndenge K. (G) 72. Pachecho S. (G) 7. Schmid J. 2. Thill M.	80. Dinho 24. Kirch M. 27. Muratovic B. 5. Neamtiu T. 25. Novalic D. (G) 14. Pianelli-Balisoni A. 20. Tallarico V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
38', 1 - 0, Baradji I. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 4)
46', Monteiro D. ↓, Dinho ↑,
46', Goncalves Tavares R. ↓, Pianelli-Balisoni A. ↑,
46', Agostinho ↓, Neamtiu T. ↑,
46', Kamavuaka W. ↓, Kirch M. ↑,
50', 1 - 1, Englaro I. ⚽, Rotundo E. (A),
58', Gavioli I. 🟨,
60', 2 - 1, Camara M. ⚽, Corral K. (A),
67', Peugnet V. 🟨,
70', 2 - 2, Englaro I. ⚽,
75', Hoxha F. ↓, Schmid J. ↑,
75', Sacras C. ↓, Ahmetxjekaj A. ↑,
79', 2 - 3, Dinho ⚽, Rotundo E. (A),
80', Peugnet V. 🟨,
81', 🟨,
86', Flauss S. ↓, Ndenge K. ↑,
86', Camara M. ↓, Chambon H. ↑,
86', Corral K. ↓, Thill M. ↑,
87', Englaro I. ↓, Muratovic B. ↑,
89', 2 - 4, Neamtiu T. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 3.

Recent form of Progrès Niedercorn has been disappointing (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, F91 Dudelange has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

F91 Dudelange is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Progrès Niedercorn won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 13 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Progrès Niedercorn won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 10:19. (average 1:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Niedercorn	8	5	1	2	13:5	8	16
11	Dudelange	8	2	1	5	8:15	-7	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Progrès Niedercorn
Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	Jeunesse Esch - Progrès Niedercorn	2:1 ✺
Luxembourg Cup
13.05.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Victoria Rosport	2:3 penalties ✺
Luxembourg National Division
08.05.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Differdange 03	2:3 ✺
03.05.26	Jeunesse Canach - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0 ✺
26.04.26	Progrès Niedercorn - Rodange	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLLLW
- F91 Dudelange
Luxembourg National Division
17.05.26	F91 Dudelange - UNA Strassen	1:1 ✺
10.05.26	Pétange - F91 Dudelange	3:0 ✺
03.05.26	F91 Dudelange - Victoria Rosport	1:2 ✺
26.04.26	Swift Hesperange - F91 Dudelange	0:3 ✺
19.04.26	F91 Dudelange - Mondorf-les-Bains	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.8 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Luxembourg National Division
27.10.24	F91 Dudelange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:0
18.05.24	F91 Dudelange - Progrès Niedercorn	0:2
10.12.23	Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange	1:0
12.02.23	F91 Dudelange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:4
14.08.22	Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange	2:3
Luxembourg Cup
20.04.22	Progrès Niedercorn - F91 Dudelange	0:2 ET
Luxembourg National Division
05.02.22	F91 Dudelange - Progrès Niedercorn	1:2

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