Match Info

Date: 15 October 2022, Saturday

Location: Estadi Nacional (Andorra la Vella)

Referee: Galvez Rascon D. (Esp)


	FC Andorra		Deportivo Alavés

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.1	2.8	Watch
	2.55	2.95	2.7
	2.8	3.1	2.6
	2.6	2.9	2.9
	2.66	3.09	3
				Watch
	2.66	2.99	2.85	Watch
	2.6	3.05	2.9
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.85)	3.03 ↑ (3.01)	2.82 ↑ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 3.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Andorra
35.6%

Draw
31.1%

Deportivo Alavés
33.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.4%

30.7%

37%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.6%

30.9%

36.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)

Deportivo Alavés has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Alavés than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
34.6%	38.5%	26.9%

FC Andorra - Deportivo Alavés Predictions

Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Andorra will win (votes: 9 - 34.6%). Alavés will win (votes: 7 - 26.9%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 38.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19.8% – 57.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 10 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ LaLiga).

Andorra has the most likely position - 14 (5.91%), has project points - 55, has currently - 15, has a chance of relegated (16%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (16%), has a small chance of promoted (7%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Alavés has the most likely position - 1 (9.42%), has project points - 65, has currently - 19, has a very small chance of relegated (3%), has a chance of prom. playoffs (31%), has a chance of promoted (26%), has a small chance of win league (9%).

This event has quality 33, importance 34, match rating 33. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)

Two teams are playing changeable.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.22	FC Andorra - Burgos	0:1 ✺
09.10.22	Málaga - FC Andorra	0:0 ✺
01.10.22	FC Andorra - Levante	3:1 ✺
25.09.22	Albacete Balompié - FC Andorra	1:1 ✺
17.09.22	FC Andorra - Eibar	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LTWTW
- Deportivo Alavés
Spanish LaLiga2
12.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Albacete Balompié	0:0 ✺
08.10.22	Burgos - Deportivo Alavés	3:0 ✺
02.10.22	Deportivo Alavés - Ponferradina	3:1 ✺
26.09.22	Cartagena - Deportivo Alavés	1:1 ✺
18.09.22	Deportivo Alavés - Huesca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TLWTW

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