Match Info

LaLiga2 - Round 11

Date: 26 October 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio La Rosaleda (Málaga)

Referee: Morilla A. (Esp)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Málaga		FC Andorra

	1	X	2
	1.96	3.25	3.9	Watch
	2.08	3.2	3.45	Watch
	2.31	3.4	3.31
	2.21	3.24	3.36	Watch
	2.11	3.3	3.44	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.21)	3.28 ↑ (3.24)	3.49 ↑ (3.36)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Málaga
44.2%

Draw
28.8%

FC Andorra
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.7%

29.2%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.7%

29.2%

28.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

FC Andorra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.2%	14.3%	9.5%

Málaga - FC Andorra Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 15 - 75%). Andorra will win (votes: 2 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 56% – 94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Málaga (votes: 3 - 60%). Andorra (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Herrero A. (C) 31. Rafita 16. Murillo D. 20. Montero J. 14. Garcia V. 22. Lorenzo D. 12. Dotor C. 5. Brasanac D. 10. Larrubia D. 9. Chupe 11. Munoz J.	25. Yaakobishvili A. (G) 17. Carrique T. 4. Alonso G. 23. Alende D. 20. Vila M. 18. Domenech M. 14. Molina S. (C) 15. Olabarrieta A. 24. Le Normand T. 16. Jastin G. 29. Kim M.
Substitutes
7. Abaida H. 25. Dorrio J. 2. Gabilondo J. 4. Galilea E. 17. Jauregi E. 8. Juanpe 24. Lobete J. 13. Lopez C. (G) 23. Merino I. 35. Ochoa A. 37. Rodriguez R. 18. Sanchez D.	8. Akman E. 5. Bombardo Poyato M. 7. Calvo A. 11. Lauti 3. Merquelanz M. 9. Nieto M. 13. Owono J. (G) 2. Petxa A. 1. Ratti N. (G) 22. Uzkudun A. 6. Villahermosa D. 12. Yaakobishvili A.
Coaches
Pellicer S.	Ibai

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
20', 1 - 0, Larrubia D. ⚽,
26', Kim M. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', Vila M. ↓, Calvo A. ↑,
46', Domenech M. ↓, Villahermosa D. ↑,
49', Brasanac D. 🟥,
52', Munoz J. ↓, Lobete J. ↑,
52', Dotor C. ↓, Juanpe ↑,
53', Villahermosa D. 🟨,
55', Juanpe 🟨,
58', 2 - 0, Lobete J. ⚽,
61', Jastin G. ↓, Uzkudun A. ↑,
61', Le Normand T. ↓, Lauti ↑,
75', Alende D. ↓, Nieto M. ↑,
78', Larrubia D. ↓, Merino I. ↑,
81', Chupe 🟨,
83', Chupe ↓, Jauregi E. ↑,
83', Lorenzo D. ↓, Rodriguez R. ↑,
86', 3 - 0, Jauregi E. ⚽, Lobete J. (A),
90', 3 - 1, Nieto M. ⚽, Villahermosa D. (A),
90+1', Uzkudun A. 🟨,
90+4', 4 - 1, Jauregi E. ⚽, Lobete J. (A),

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 and 11).

Málaga is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Andorra has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Málaga may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Málaga will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Málaga: Diarra M. (Knee Injury) Enriquez R. (Knee Injury) Gabilondo J. (Broken Hand) Luismi (Face Injury) Nino A. (Ankle Injury) Pastor A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Andorra: Cerda J. (Injury)

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, Málaga won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Last Results with these Odds

Málaga - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 42.74%, but this team recently wins 67% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Málaga CF
Spanish LaLiga2
19.10.25	Leganés - Málaga	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Málaga - Deportivo A Coruña	3:0 ✺
05.10.25	Racing Santander - Málaga	3:0 ✺
28.09.25	Burgos - Málaga	2:1 ✺
21.09.25	Málaga - Cádiz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 LWLLL
- FC Andorra
Spanish LaLiga2
17.10.25	FC Andorra - Granada	0:0 ✺
11.10.25	Real Sociedad B - FC Andorra	3:0 ✺
04.10.25	FC Andorra - Leganés	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Racing Santander - FC Andorra	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	FC Andorra - Mirandés	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.5 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish LaLiga2
02.04.23	FC Andorra - Málaga	1:0
09.10.22	Málaga - FC Andorra	0:0

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