The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FC Andorra 51.2%
Draw 26.9%
Gimnástic de Tarragona 21.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
42.2%
28.9%
28.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
43.5%
28%
28%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Andorra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in FC Andorra's performance.
Gimnástic de Tarragona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Gimnástic de Tarragona might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Andorra than the current prediction. (-7.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Andorra that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+6.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Gimnástic de Tarragona could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
FC Andorra - Gimnástic de Tarragona Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Ratti N. (C) 18. Bombardo Poyato M. 20. Vila M. 23. Alende D. 17. Clemente J. 9. Nieto M. 12. Villahermosa D. 14. Molina S. 19. Almpanis C. 11. Lauti 10. Alvaro
13. Rebollo D. (G) 6. Gorostidi A. 3. Perez G. 21. Oriol J. (C) 20. Miguel 17. Fernandez P. 8. Montalvo M. 14. Sanz O. 23. Concha D. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin
Substitutes
26. Achhiba B. 3. Busquets O. 24. Casadesus P. 21. Cerda J. 7. Fuentes J. 8. Moran E. 5. Morgado C. 13. Oier (G) 16. Pena A. 15. Redondo L. 27. Rodriguez I. 22. Royo M.
4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 11. Fernandez M. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 7. Junca D. 15. Leal A. 37. Pujol E. 19. Torres R. 1. Varo A. (G)
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
28', Sanz O. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
56', Vila M. ↓, Cerda J. ↑,
56', Almpanis C. ↓, Rodriguez I. ↑,
58', Miguel 🟨,
60', Villahermosa D. 🟨,
62', Miguel ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
62', Narro V. ↓, Torres R. ↑,
62', Concha D. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
72', Fernandez P. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
73', 1 - 0, Nieto M. ⚽,
78', Alende D. ↓, Pena A. ↑,
78', Villahermosa D. ↓, Morgado C. ↑,
82', Alvaro 🟨,
87', Alvaro ↓, Redondo L. ↑,
90+5', 🟨,
Preview
The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).
Andorra is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
In recent matches, Gimnàstic has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Andorra may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Andorra is considered a favorite.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Andorra won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:1. (average 2:0.3).
Including home match between the teams, Andorra won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.
Last Results with these Odds
FC Andorra - the odds 2.16 are the expected chance of winning is 42.23%, but this team recently wins 57% of matches with these odds.
Spain
Watch
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Ratti N. (C) 
Bombardo Poyato M. 
Almpanis C. 
Lauti 
Fuentes J. 
Rodriguez I. 
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