Match Info

Primera RFEF - Group 1 - Round 30

Date: 30 March 2025, Sunday

Location: Nou Estadi de Tarragona (Tarragona)

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	FEF TV


	Gimnástic de Tarragona		Ponferradina

	1	X	2
	2.2	3	3.1
	2.2	2.9	3
	2.28	3.05	3.2
	2.3	3.02	3.1
	2.32	2.99	3.16
	2.28	3.05	3.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.32)	3 ↓ (3.05)	3.13 ↑ (3.1)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Gimnástic de Tarragona
40.4%

Draw
30.4%

Ponferradina
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.9%

30.3%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

31.5%

28.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gimnástic de Tarragona has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gimnástic de Tarragona than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Rebollo D. (G) 20. Miguel 15. Leal A. 3. Perez G. 21. Oriol J. 8. Montalvo M. 14. Sanz O. 23. Concha D. 19. Torres R. 22. Narro V. 9. Antonin	1. Prieto A. (G) 2. Andujar D. 4. Sibille K. 5. Lancho J. 17. Carrique T. 16. Lozano M. 22. Esquerdo V. 18. Ramon A. 15. Bustos A. 20. Costa A. 11. Mula A.
Substitutes
4. Domingo Ciuraneta P. 5. Dufur U. 11. Fernandez M. 17. Fernandez P. 6. Gorostidi A. 12. Granero B. 10. Jardi J. 18. Jimenez A. 30. Querol A. 26. Salva J. (G) 1. Varo A. (G)	9. Cabanzon Y. 21. Cortes J. 24. Doue M. 12. Ferrer P. 7. Gomez E. 13. Jimenez A. (G) 23. Jorrin M. 19. Lopez A. 3. Novoa G. 10. Valle B.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
20', 0 - 1, Mula A. ⚽,
35', Sanz O. 🟨,
43', 1 - 1, Oriol J. (Pen),
45+1', Narro V. 🟨,
45+1', Fernandez P. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Narro V. ⚽,
61', 3 - 1, Concha D. ⚽,
62', Mula A. ↓, Cabanzon Y. ↑,
62', Lancho J. ↓, Valle B. ↑,
66', Torres R. ↓, Gorostidi A. ↑,
66', Narro V. ↓, Jardi J. ↑,
66', Concha D. ↓, Fernandez M. ↑,
70', Ramon A. 🟨,
80', Esquerdo V. ↓, Doue M. ↑,
80', Lozano M. ↓, Cortes J. ↑,
83', Miguel 🟨,
83', Miguel ↓, Domingo Ciuraneta P. ↑,
84', Bustos A. ↓, Gomez E. ↑,
85', 4 - 1, Jardi J. ⚽,
88', Leal A. ↓, Dufur U. ↑,
90+1', 5 - 1, Antonin ⚽,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera RFEF ~ Promotion Play Offs).

Recent matches Gimnàstic is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Ponferradina is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Ponferradina could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Gimnàstic will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Gimnàstic won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4:5 (average 0.8:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Gimnàstic won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1 (average 0.5:0.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gimnástic de Tarragona
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.03.25	Zamora - Gimnástic de Tarragona	1:1 ✺
15.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barakaldo	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Tarazona - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:0 ✺
02.03.25	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Barcelona B	3:2 ✺
22.02.25	Ourense CF - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 TWTWL
- SD Ponferradina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
23.03.25	Ponferradina - Lugo	0:1 ✺
15.03.25	Arenteiro - Ponferradina	0:1 ✺
09.03.25	Ponferradina - Ourense CF	2:0 ✺
02.03.25	Celta de Vigo B - Ponferradina	1:1 ✺
23.02.25	Ponferradina - Gimnástica Segoviana	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWWTW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
08.12.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:0
31.03.24	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	0:1
07.10.23	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	0:0
Spanish LaLiga2
13.03.16	Gimnástic de Tarragona - Ponferradina	1:1
10.10.15	Ponferradina - Gimnástic de Tarragona	2:2

Upcoming Matches