Match Info

Serie D - Play Offs - 1/32-finals

Date: 21 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Estádio Olímpico Regional Jacy Miguel Scanagatta (Cascavel)


	FC Cascavel		Náutico Marcílio Dias

	1	X	2
	2.37	2.50	3.30
	2.62	2.68	2.78
	2.45	2.54	3.40
	2.77	2.6	2.92
	2.45	2.45	3.20
	2.64	2.65	2.81
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↓ (2.7)	2.57 ↓ (2.65)	3.07 ↑ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Cascavel
35.4%

Draw
35.1%

Náutico Marcílio Dias
29.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.7%

34.3%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

35.1%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Cascavel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Náutico Marcílio Dias has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Cascavel than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Náutico Marcílio Dias than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

FC Cascavel - Náutico Marcílio Dias Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
4', 1 - 0, Borech ⚽,
31', 1 - 1, Claudinho ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
56', 2 - 1, Robinho ⚽,
90+2', 2 - 2, Gabriel Lyra ⚽,

Preview

First leg.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, FC Cascavel won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 1.8:0.5).

Including home matches between the teams, FC Cascavel won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:0. (average 2.5:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Cascavel
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	Santa Catarina - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
31.05.26	FC Cascavel - São Luiz	0:0 ✺
24.05.26	Guarany de Bagé - FC Cascavel	0:4 ✺
17.05.26	Cianorte - FC Cascavel	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	FC Cascavel - Joinville	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LTWLW
- Náutico Marcílio Dias
Brazilian Serie D
07.06.26	São-Joseense - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:0 ✺
01.06.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Azuriz	0:1 ✺
24.05.26	EC São José Porto Alegre - Náutico Marcílio Dias	1:1 ✺
16.05.26	Blumenau - Náutico Marcílio Dias	0:1 ✺
09.05.26	Náutico Marcílio Dias - Brasil de Pelotas	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie D
09.07.22	FC Cascavel - Náutico Marcílio Dias	3:0
23.04.22	Náutico Marcílio Dias - FC Cascavel	1:1
28.08.21	FC Cascavel - Náutico Marcílio Dias	2:0
13.06.21	Náutico Marcílio Dias - FC Cascavel	1:1

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