Match Info

MLS

Date: 20 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Toyota Stadium (Frisco, TX)

Referee: Fischer D. (Can)

Where to Watch on TV:


Canada	Amazon Prime Video
China	QQ Sports
Italy	Amazon Prime Video
Usa	MLS Season Pass
World	EA Sports FC


	FC Dallas		Colorado Rapids

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.6	3.3	Watch
	2.12	3.7	3.15
	2.2	3.9	3.21
	2.10	3.70	3.16	Watch
	2.18	3.85	3.1	Watch
	2.15	3.6	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.32)	3.73 ↑ (3.53)	3.17 ↑ (2.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Dallas
44.5%

Draw
25.5%

Colorado Rapids
30%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.4%

26.6%

33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.1%

25.5%

31.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

Colorado Rapids has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Colorado Rapids than the current prediction. (+1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
75%	25%	0%

FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
98. Jackson J. (G) 18. Moore S. 3. Urhoghide O. 25. Ibeagha S. 77. Kamungo B. 17. Ramiro 55. Kaick 12. Cappis C. 6. Delgado P. 9. Musa P. 23. Farrington L.	1. Steffen Z. (G) 4. Cannon R. 5. Maxso A. 6. Holding R. 30. Rafael Santos 20. Ronan C. 8. Larraz O. 14. Harris C. 10. Aaronson P. 23. Bassett C. 9. Rafael Navarro
Substitutes
5. Abubakar L. 22. Augusto A. 30. Collodi M. (G) 7. Deedson L. 11. Julio Santos A. A. 8. Lletget S. 32. Norris N. 20. Pedrinho 24. Torquato J.	12. Atencio J. 31. Beaudry A. (G) 24. Cobb N. 21. Ku-DiPietro T. 11. Manyoma A. 19. Murphy I. 2. Rosenberry K. 3. Vines S. 77. Yapi D.
Coaches
Quill E.	Armas C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 1 - 0, Musa P. ⚽, Farrington L. (A), Moore S. (A2)
21', 1 - 1, Harris C. ⚽,
31', Bassett C. 🟨,
36', 2 - 1, Cappis C. ⚽, Delgado P. (A), Ibeagha S. (A2)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
61', Larraz O. ↓, Yapi D. ↑,
61', Harris C. ↓, Ku-DiPietro T. ↑,
68', Farrington L. ↓, Julio Santos A. A. ↑,
76', Kaick ↓, Abubakar L. ↑,
76', Delgado P. ↓, Pedrinho ↑,
77', Bassett C. ↓, Atencio J. ↑,
77', Ronan C. ↓, Manyoma A. ↑,
80', 3 - 1, Maxso A. (Own goal),
83', Cappis C. ↓, Norris N. ↑,
83', Rafael Santos ↓, Vines S. ↑,
84', Musa P. ↓, Lletget S. ↑,
90+5', Yapi D. 🟨,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 0.

Dallas is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Colorado has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Dallas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Dallas could have a small edge in this match.

There will not play in Dallas: Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Newman E. (Knee Injury) Paes M. (Leg Injury) Pomykal P. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Colorado: Atencio J. (Injury)

There are questionable in Colorado: Stewart-Baynes K. (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:29. (average 1.3:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Dallas won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 18:10. (average 1.6:0.9).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Dallas
MLS
13.09.25	FC Dallas - Austin FC	2:0 ✺
06.09.25	St. Louis City - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
23.08.25	FC Dallas - Los Angeles	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Austin FC - FC Dallas	1:1 ✺
09.08.25	FC Dallas - Portland Timbers	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.1 WTTTW
- Colorado Rapids
MLS
13.09.25	Colorado Rapids - Houston Dynamo	2:1 ✺
30.08.25	Sporting Kansas City - Colorado Rapids	4:2 ✺
23.08.25	Los Angeles Galaxy - Colorado Rapids	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Colorado Rapids - Atlanta United	3:1 ✺
10.08.25	Minnesota United - Colorado Rapids	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.9 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

MLS
01.03.25	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	3:3
31.08.24	FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids	2:3
20.04.24	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	2:1
14.10.23	FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids	1:1
08.07.23	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	2:1
01.10.22	Colorado Rapids - FC Dallas	1:0
09.04.22	FC Dallas - Colorado Rapids	3:1

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