The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
St. Louis City 46%
Draw 25.5%
FC Dallas 28.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.4%
24.6%
27.1%
Our Initial ML Estimation
49.5%
24.1%
26.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
St. Louis City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.4%)
FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for St. Louis City than the current prediction. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-2%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
33.3%
22.2%
St. Louis City - FC Dallas Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. St. Louis City will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Dallas will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for St. Louis City: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Burki R. (C) 99. Orozco J. 32. Baumgartl T. 21. Polvara D. 6. Wallem C. 8. Durkin C. 24. Edelman D. 14. Totland T. 77. Jeong S. 23. Matan A. 11. Becher S.
40. Sirois J. (G) 25. Ibeagha S. 3. Urhoghide O. 18. Moore S. 14. Johansson H. 17. Ramiro (C) 55. Kaick 77. Kamungo B. 21. Valiente J. 10. Moreno S. 9. Musa P.
Substitutes
98. Holse C. 59. Joyner M. 39. Lundt B. (G) 5. MacNaughton L. 4. Mbacke M. 28. Perez M. 20. Rafael Santos 3. Reid-Brown T. 91. Zengue Z.
5. Abubakar L. 6. Binyamin R. 12. Cappis C. 30. Collodi M. (G) 23. Farrington L. 33. Holstad C. 32. Norris N. 28. Sarver S. 24. Torquato J.
Coaches
Damet Y.
Quill E.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
3', 1 - 0, Becher S. ⚽,
13', Ramiro 🟨,
18', 1 - 1, Moore S. ⚽,
43', 2 - 1, Edelman D. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
59', Matan A. ↓, Holse C. ↑,
59', Johansson H. ↓, Cappis C. ↑,
59', Moreno S. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Holse C. ⚽, Wallem C. (A),
68', Ramiro ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
69', Kamungo B. ↓, Norris N. ↑,
72', Jeong S. ↓, Zengue Z. ↑,
81', 3 - 2, Ibeagha S. ⚽, Valiente J. (A),
88', Orozco J. ↓, MacNaughton L. ↑,
89', Musa P. 🟨,
89', Kaick ↓, Sarver S. ↑,
90+7', 3 - 3, Farrington L. ⚽, Musa P. (A),
90+8', MacNaughton L. 🟨,
Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 1.
St. Louis City is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Dallas has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Dallas may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.
St. Louis City could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in St. Louis City: Celio Pompeu
(Knee Injury)
Hiebert K.
(Hip Injury)
McSorley B.
(Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Dallas: Daniel
(Hamstring Injury)
Geovane Jesus
(Knee Injury)
Julio Santos A. A.
(Injury)
There are questionable in St. Louis City: Welsh C.
(Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:11. (average 0.8:1.4).
Including home matches between the teams, St. Louis City won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
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Burki R. (C) 
Orozco J. 
Baumgartl T. 
Wallem C. 
Jeong S. 
Matan A. 
Sirois J. (G) 
Urhoghide O. 
Johansson H. 
Ramiro (C) 
Valiente J. 
Moreno S. 
Musa P. 
Holse C. 
Mbacke M. 
Abubakar L. 
Binyamin R. 
Damet Y. 
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