Match Info

MLS

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Q2 Stadium (Austin, TX)

Referee: Touchan R. (Usa)

Where to Watch on TV:


Austria	Laola1
Finland	Veikkaus TV
Germany	Laola1
Israel	Sport 2
Usa	MLS Season Pass, SportsEngine Play
World	Apple TV International


	Austin FC		FC Dallas

	1	X	2
	3.00	3.50	2.25	Watch
	2.80	3.60	2.25
	2.95	3.55	2.23
	3.02	3.70	2.37
	2.78	3.75	2.35	Watch
	3.00	3.55	2.30
	2.92	4.02	2.28	Watch
	2.85	3.45	2.30
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.92 ↑ (2.81)	3.64 ↑ (3.61)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Austin FC
32.5%

Draw
26.1%

FC Dallas
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.2%

25.8%

41%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Austin FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

FC Dallas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	0%	66.7%

Austin FC - FC Dallas Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Austin will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Dallas will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Stuver B. (G) 35. Djordjevic M. 5. Svatok O. 29. Guilherme Biro 30. Rosales J. 14. Sabovic B. 6. Sanchez I. (C) 17. Gallagher J. 38. Torres E. 21. Ramirez C. 10. Uzuni M.	40. Sirois J. (G) 5. Abubakar L. 3. Urhoghide O. 25. Ibeagha S. 14. Johansson H. 12. Cappis C. 17. Ramiro (C) 77. Kamungo B. 21. Valiente J. 10. Moreno S. 9. Musa P.
Substitutes
24. Alastuey J. 15. Bell J. 4. Hines-Ike B. 23. Kolmanic Z. 12. Las D. (G) 7. Nelson J. 77. Placheta P. 11. Torres F. 9. Vazquez B.	22. Alvaro Augusto 6. Binyamin R. 30. Collodi M. (G) 23. Farrington L. 33. Holstad C. 55. Kaick 18. Moore S. 28. Sarver S. 24. Torquato J.
Coaches
Arnaud D.	Quill E.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
33', Ramiro 🟨,
35', Djordjevic M. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Abubakar L. ⚽, Moreno S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sanchez I. ↓, Placheta P. ↑,
46', Rosales J. ↓, Torres F. ↑,
57', 1 - 1, Torres E. ⚽,
60', Kamungo B. 🟨,
63', Valiente J. 🟨,
63', Gallagher J. ↓, Kolmanic Z. ↑,
63', Ramirez C. ↓, Vazquez B. ↑,
68', Svatok O. 🟨,
70', Moreno S. ↓, Farrington L. ↑,
73', 1 - 2, Musa P. ⚽, Valiente J. (A),
79', Ramiro ↓, Kaick ↑,
83', Guilherme Biro ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
83', Urhoghide O. 🟨,
85', Valiente J. ↓, Holstad C. ↑,
85', Musa P. ↓, Binyamin R. ↑,
90+9', Uzuni M. 🟨,

Preview

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 14 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Austin won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Dallas may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Dallas has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

There will not play in Austin: Desler M. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Dallas: Daniel (Hamstring Injury) Geovane Jesus (Knee Injury) Norris N. (Yellow Cards)

There are questionable in Dallas: Julio Santos A. A. (Injury)

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Austin won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Austin won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:11. (average 1.9:1.6).

Last Results with these Odds

FC Dallas - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 41%, but this team recently wins 75% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Austin FC
CONCACAF League Cup
13.08.26	Club América - Austin FC	1:2 penalties ✺
06.08.26	Austin FC - Tijuana	2:0 ✺
MLS
01.08.26	Colorado Rapids - Austin FC	1:0 ✺
25.07.26	Houston Dynamo - Austin FC	3:0 ✺
22.07.26	Austin FC - Seattle Sounders	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.9 WWLLW
- FC Dallas
CONCACAF League Cup
12.08.26	Toluca - FC Dallas	3:1 ✺
08.08.26	Chivas Guadalajara - FC Dallas	0:1 ✺
05.08.26	FC Dallas - Querétaro	2:0 ✺
MLS
01.08.26	Los Angeles Galaxy - FC Dallas	0:0 ✺
25.07.26	San Diego - FC Dallas	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 LWWTL

Latest Head to Head

MLS
13.09.25	FC Dallas - Austin FC	2:0
16.08.25	Austin FC - FC Dallas	1:1
17.07.24	FC Dallas - Austin FC	3:1
11.05.24	FC Dallas - Austin FC	2:1
30.03.24	Austin FC - FC Dallas	2:1
26.08.23	FC Dallas - Austin FC	1:0
21.06.23	Austin FC - FC Dallas	3:0

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