The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
FC Dallas 33.7%
Draw 28.1%
New England Revolution 38.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34.4%
28.8%
36.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
25%
20.9%
50.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
FC Dallas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for FC Dallas than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with FC Dallas that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+12.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that New England Revolution could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
21.6%
24.3%
54.1%
FC Dallas - New England Revolution Predictions
Users Predictions:
37 users predict this event. Dallas will win (votes: 8 - 21.6%). New England will win (votes: 20 - 54.1%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 24.3%). Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 38% – 70.2%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 13 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
Dallas has the most likely position - 12 (13.7%), has project points - 41, has currently - 7, has a chance of playoffs (29%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has a very small chance of supporters shield (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (1%).
New England has the most likely position - 1 (32.88%), has project points - 62, has currently - 23, has a good chance of playoffs (95%), has a chance of first-round bye (33%), has a chance of supporters shield (19%), has a small chance of win league (11%).
Dallas is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
New England is in super shape now and in the last match got series of victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).
The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
Last 10 head-to-head matches Dallas won 8 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 22-9.
Including matches at home between the teams Dallas won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 12-4.
Watch
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