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Current Win Probability
New England Revolution 31.8%
Draw 27.3%
Columbus Crew 40.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
32.2%
26.4%
41.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.9%
25.3%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New England Revolution has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)
Columbus Crew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Columbus Crew than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
44.4%
22.2%
33.3%
New England Revolution - Columbus Crew Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. New England will win (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Columbus will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Confidence interval (95%) for New England: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. New England (votes: 1 - 50%). Columbus (votes: 1 - 50%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Turner M. (G) 12. Feingold I. 3. Ceballos B. 2. Fofana M. 23. Sands W. 21. Raines B. 22. Kohler E. 41. Langoni L. 10. Gil C. (C) 80. Yusuf A. 11. Turgeman D.
28. Schulte P. (G) 31. Moreira S. 4. Camacho R. 25. Zawadzki S. (C) 18. Amundsen M. 30. Picard H. 7. Chambost D. 20. Gomes A. 27. Arfsten M. 8. Gazdag D. 10. Rossi D.
Substitutes
4. Beason T. 77. Fagundez D. 88. Farrell A. 73. Gunn J. (G) 38. Klein E. 25. Miller P. 35. Oliveira C. 7. Yow G. 17. Zambrano M.
90. Akhundzade N. 17. Bangoura S. 21. Cheberko Y. 1. Hagen N. (G) 2. Herrera A. 45. Presthus O. 12. Ruvalcaba C. 14. Sejdic A. 19. Thiare J.
Coaches
Mitrovic M.
Rydstrom H.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
17', Ceballos B. ↓, Miller P. ↑,
24', 0 - 1, Arfsten M. ⚽, Rossi D. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 1 - 1, Turgeman D. ⚽, Langoni L. (A),
67', Gazdag D. ↓, Thiare J. ↑,
67', Picard H. ↓, Herrera A. ↑,
71', Gomes A. 🟨,
71', Turner M. 🟨,
84', 2 - 1, Gil C. (Penalty Awarded),
87', Langoni L. ↓, Fagundez D. ↑,
87', Arfsten M. 🟨,
87', Moreira S. ↓, Akhundzade N. ↑,
88', Gomes A. ↓, Bangoura S. ↑,
90+4', Turgeman D. ↓, Klein E. ↑,
90+6', Camacho R. 🟨,
Preview
Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, New England won 1.
New England is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Columbus's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
New England may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, New England has had a series of home games.
The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
There will not play in New England: Campana L.
(Injury)
Polster M.
(Injury)
There will not play in Columbus: Farsi M.
(Hernia)
There are questionable in New England: Kohler E.
(Injury)
Oliveira C.
(Injury)
There are questionable in Columbus: Abou Ali W.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, New England won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 15:33. (average 0.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, New England won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:17. (average 0.8:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Columbus Crew - the odds 2.24 are the expected chance of winning is 41.4%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.
Usa
World
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Turner M. (G) 
Feingold I. 
Ceballos B. 
Fofana M. 
Langoni L. 
Gil C. (C) 
Yusuf A. 
Moreira S. 
Camacho R. 
Amundsen M. 
Gomes A. 
Gazdag D. 
Rossi D. 
Gunn J. (G) 
Akhundzade N. 
Bangoura S. 
Cheberko Y. 
Hagen N. (G) 
Thiare J. 
Mitrovic M. 
Rydstrom H. 
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