The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
New York City 36.8%
Draw 26.5%
New England Revolution 36.7%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
44.4%
25.4%
30.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
46.7%
26.7%
28.7%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that New York City's form might have worsened.
New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting New England Revolution's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York City than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for New York City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (-8%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for New England Revolution, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
33.3%
44.4%
22.2%
New York City - New England Revolution Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. NY City will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). New England will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
49. Freese M. (G) 35. Ilenic M. 13. Thiago Martins (C) 34. Raul Gustavo 22. O'Toole K. 21. O'Neill A. 7. Mercau N. 6. Sands J. 26. Ojeda A. 9. Traore B. 8. Perea A.
30. Turner M. (G) 8. Polster M. 22. Kohler E. 2. Fofana M. 23. Sands W. 10. Gil C. (C) 21. Raines B. 80. Yusuf A. 11. Harrison J. 99. Turgeman D. 25. Miller P.
Substitutes
2. Cavallo N. 24. Gray T. 88. Jones M. 20. Luighi 16. Martinez A. 23. Murray M. 30. Romero T. (G) 32. Shore J. 17. Wolf H.
4. Beason T. 77. Fagundez D. 12. Feingold I. 16. Gazdag D. 27. Harris W. 41. Langoni L. 33. Parisian D. (G) 7. Yow G. 14. Yueill J.
Coaches
Jansen P.
Mitrovic M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Gil C. (Penalty Awarded),
18', Yusuf A. 🟨,
19', Yusuf A. ↓, Yueill J. ↑,
31', Polster M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
63', Ojeda A. ↓, Luighi ↑,
63', O'Neill A. ↓, Wolf H. ↑,
71', 1 - 1, Luighi ⚽, Mercau N. (A),
72', Polster M. ↓, Feingold I. ↑,
72', Turgeman D. ↓, Gazdag D. ↑,
80', Harrison J. ↓, Harris W. ↑,
80', Miller P. ↓, Langoni L. ↑,
89', Traore B. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
90+3', 1 - 2, Gazdag D. ⚽, Feingold I. (A),
90+5', Sands W. ↓, Beason T. ↑,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY City won 3.
NY City is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 0 wins).
In recent matches, New England has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, New England has had a series of away games.
NY City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in NY City: Baiera D.
(Knee Injury)
Farnos A.
(Injury)
Moralez M.
(Knee Injury)
Parks K.
(Injury)
Talles Magno
(Muscle Injury)
Trewin K.
(Ankle Injury)
Wolf H.
(Leg Injury)
There will not play in New England: Campana L.
(Hamstring Injury)
Wynder J.
(Inactive)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY City won 10 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 27:23. (average 1.4:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, NY City won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:9. (average 1.8:1).
Last Results with these Odds
New England Revolution - the odds 3.13 are the expected chance of winning is 30.22%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
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Freese M. (G) 
Ilenic M. 
Thiago Martins (C) 
O'Toole K. 
O'Neill A. 
Mercau N. 
Traore B. 
Fofana M. 
Gil C. (C) 
Yusuf A. 
Harrison J. 
Turgeman D. 
Gray T. 
Jones M. 
Martinez A. 
Romero T. (G) 
Wolf H. 
Fagundez D. 
Gazdag D. 
Jansen P. 
Mitrovic M. 
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