Match Info

ESTONIA: Estonian Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 15 October 2024, Tuesday

Location: Lasnamäe Sports Complex Stadium (Tallinn)


	FC Tallinn		Tammeka

	1	X	2
	11	7	1.15
	11.5	6.5	1.15	Watch
	10.29	6.61	1.14
	11.66	6.62	1.17	Watch
	14.4	7.1	1.13
	11.5	6.5	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	11.73 ↑ (5.95)	6.72 ↑ (4.3)	1.15 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FC Tallinn
7.7%

Draw
13.5%

Tammeka
78.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.1%

21%

63.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.2%

20.9%

63.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FC Tallinn has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FC Tallinn's form might have worsened.

Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tammeka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FC Tallinn than the current prediction. (+7.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FC Tallinn, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-15.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tammeka, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

FC Tallinn - Tammeka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:3

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 0, Volkov A. ⚽,
52', 2 - 0, Tserezov M. ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, Miil M. ⚽,

Preview

FC Tallinn is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Tammeka is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Tammeka could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Tammeka is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Tallinn
Estonian Esiliiga
09.10.24	Tallinna Kalev U21 - FC Tallinn	0:2 ✺
06.10.24	Elva - FC Tallinn	0:1 ✺
28.09.24	FC Tallinn - Flora U21	1:1 ✺
24.09.24	FC Tallinn - Tabasalu	3:1 ✺
15.09.24	FC Tallinn - Levadia Tallinn U21	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 WWTWL
- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
05.10.24	Tallinna Kalev - Tammeka	1:2 ✺
29.09.24	Tammeka - Nõmme Kalju	2:3 ✺
21.09.24	Flora Tallinn - Tammeka	2:1 ✺
18.09.24	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	2:2 ✺
13.09.24	Tammeka - Tallinna Kalev	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 WLLTW

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