Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 18

Date: 5 July 2026, Sunday

Location: Tamme Stadium (Tartu)

Referee: Uprus T. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Tammeka		Harju JK Laagri

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.82	3.50	3.50
	1.82	3.55	3.7
	1.84	3.93	3.85
	1.83	3.93	3.72	Watch
	1.81	3.85	3.7
	1.83	3.77	3.87	Watch
	1.82	3.65	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (1.99)	3.74 ↓ (3.88)	3.71 ↑ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Tammeka
50.5%

Draw
24.6%

Harju JK Laagri
24.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.6%

23.9%

29.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.5%

23%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Tammeka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Harju JK Laagri has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Harju JK Laagri than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
89.5%	10.5%	0%

Tammeka - Harju JK Laagri Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tammeka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Tammeka will win (17 of 19 users predict this - 89.47%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.67% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lapa K. (G) 3. Pedro Manoel 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 28. Kallas R. 23. Veelma P. 7. Thomas Lisboa 79. Marin P. 99. Hydara M. 10. Uggeri G. 19. Koskor T. 89. Kauan Pereira	1. Vainula J. (G) 6. Palutaja H. 3. Kaevats A. 24. Laur K. 4. Jarve A. (C) 13. Sillamaa R. 5. Kartau I. 66. Roomussaar K. 23. Rudenko Daniil 9. Eerme K. 16. Kriis K.
Substitutes
6. Karis M. 77. Kiidjarv C. (G) 8. Kiidron K. 22. Lang T. 9. Miil M. 11. Muur R. 24. Pedmanson H. 4. Vaino M.	18. Bah I. 19. Binate A. 47. Ennuste K. 41. Kajari E. 32. Kerge S. 22. Kesa M. 11. Kose A. 79. Meesit R. (G) 53. Ndakala J. 7. Reimaa R. 95. Suppi S.
Coaches
Voolaid K.	Nuuma L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
4', 0 - 1, Rudenko Daniil ⚽, Vainula J. (A),
16', 1 - 1, Pedro Manoel ⚽, Veelma P. (A),
20', Uggeri G. 🟨,
34', 2 - 1, Marin P. ⚽, Koskor T. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Kangaslahti O. 🟨,
54', Roomussaar K. ↓, Reimaa R. ↑,
54', Eerme K. ↓, Ndakala J. ↑,
66', Hydara M. 🟨,
69', Hydara M. ↓, Muur R. ↑,
69', Uggeri G. ↓, Lang T. ↑,
70', Sillamaa R. ↓, Binate A. ↑,
70', Jarve A. ↓, Bah I. ↑,
76', Kallas R. 🟨,
76', Kallas R. ↓, Miil M. ↑,
78', Binate A. 🟨,
85', Thomas Lisboa ↓, Vaino M. ↑,
85', Kauan Pereira ↓, Karis M. ↑,
86', Rudenko Daniil ↓, Kose A. ↑,
88', Bah I. 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 2.

Tammeka is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Harju is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Tammeka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Tammeka has had a series of home games.

Tammeka might have a minor edge in this game.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Tammeka won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Tammeka won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:4. (average 2.8:0.8).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44
6	Harju JK Laagri	29	11	2	16	40:47	-7	35

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
21.06.26	Tammeka - Narva Trans	1:0 ✺
17.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Tammeka - Levadia Tallinn	0:1 ✺
15.05.26	Tammeka - Nõmme United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.3 WWTLW
- Harju JK Laagri
Estonian Meistriliiga
20.06.26	Harju JK Laagri - Nõmme United	1:3 ✺
17.06.26	Paide LM - Harju JK Laagri	1:0 ✺
13.06.26	Harju JK Laagri - Kuressaare	2:3 ✺
30.05.26	Harju JK Laagri - Narva Trans	3:0 ✺
20.05.26	Nõmme Kalju - Harju JK Laagri	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
25.04.26	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	1:0
22.10.25	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	2:2
31.08.25	Tammeka - Harju JK Laagri	3:0
13.06.25	Tammeka - Harju JK Laagri	2:1
18.04.25	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	4:1
10.11.23	Tammeka - Harju JK Laagri	2:1
09.07.23	Harju JK Laagri - Tammeka	3:0

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