Match Info

Meistriliiga - Round 19

Date: 11 July 2026, Saturday

Location: Parnu Rannastaadion (Parnu)

Referee: Koppel K. (Est)

Where to Watch on TV:


Estonia	Jalgpall.ee, Soccernet TV
Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Pärnu Vaprus		Tammeka

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.30	2.35
	2.60	3.45	2.38
	2.56	3.55	2.65
	2.59	3.43	2.55	Watch
	2.50	3.35	2.60
	2.63	3.42	2.53	Watch
	2.60	3.35	2.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.52)	3.41 ↓ (3.42)	2.5 ↑ (2.44)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pärnu Vaprus
35.9%

Draw
27.1%

Tammeka
37%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

26.6%

37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.8%

26.4%

37.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Tammeka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tammeka than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	66.7%	33.3%

Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Tammeka will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Nomm O. (C) 43. Seppik M. 28. Lipp M. 15. Aloe K. 90. Sild J. 17. Kapper S. 8. Pajo T. 20. Valja H. 10. Viidas S. 9. Poder J. 42. Limberg M.	26. Lapa K. (G) 23. Veelma P. 3. Pedro Manoel 4. Vaino M. 44. Kangaslahti O. (C) 24. Pedmanson H. 6. Karis M. 22. Lang T. 8. Kiidron K. 19. Koskor T. 79. Marin P.
Substitutes
5. Aer S. 64. Allas J. 11. Kauber K. 47. Kolvart S. 19. Korre A. 74. Kutsar K. 66. Nomm U. 14. Orm R. 3. Rand K. 1. Vainu H. (G) 7. Vallik V.	28. Kallas R. 14. Karis K. 89. Kauan Pereira 77. Kiidjarv C. (G) 9. Miil M. 29. Silov R. 10. Uggeri G. 25. Viinapuu A.
Coaches
Prins I.	Voolaid K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 1)
7', Aloe K. 🟨,
9', Lang T. 🟨,
19', 1 - 0, Limberg M. ⚽, Kapper S. (A),
28', 2 - 0, Limberg M. ⚽, Pajo T. (A),
34', Karis M. 🟨,
40', 2 - 1, Marin P. ⚽, Pedmanson H. (A),
44', 3 - 1, Limberg M. ⚽, Pajo T. (A),
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Vaino M. ↓, Kauan Pereira ↑,
46', Kiidron K. ↓, Uggeri G. ↑,
46', Karis M. ↓, Kallas R. ↑,
54', Poder J. 🟨,
63', Poder J. ↓, Orm R. ↑,
63', Viidas S. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
74', 4 - 1, Orm R. ⚽, Pajo T. (A),
74', Pedmanson H. ↓, Miil M. ↑,
76', Kapper S. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
78', Lang T. ↓, Karis K. ↑,
87', 5 - 1, Orm R. ⚽,
88', Pajo T. ↓, Kutsar K. ↑,
88', Limberg M. ↓, Kolvart S. ↑,
90', Vallik V. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 3.

Pärnu Vaprus has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Tammeka is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Recently, Tammeka has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Pärnu Vaprus won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 33:23. (average 1.7:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Pärnu Vaprus won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 18:8. (average 2:0.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Tammeka	29	14	2	13	37:47	-10	44
7	Parnu JK Vaprus	29	10	4	15	39:57	-18	34

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pärnu JK Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga
04.07.26	Paide LM - Pärnu Vaprus	3:1 ✺
26.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Kuressaare	1:0 ✺
16.06.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Flora Tallinn	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Nõmme Kalju	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.3 LWLTW
- JK Tammeka Tartu
Estonian Meistriliiga
05.07.26	Tammeka - Harju JK Laagri	2:1 ✺
21.06.26	Tammeka - Narva Trans	1:0 ✺
17.06.26	Nõmme Kalju - Tammeka	1:2 ✺
13.06.26	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	0:0 ✺
30.05.26	Tammeka - Levadia Tallinn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.9 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Estonian Meistriliiga
13.06.26	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	0:0
18.04.26	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	0:0
16.09.25	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	1:4
15.08.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	8:1
17.05.25	Pärnu Vaprus - Tammeka	2:1
29.03.25	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	0:5
Club Friendly
16.02.25	Tammeka - Pärnu Vaprus	6:1

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