Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 5

Date: 28 November 2024, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Gishamer S. (Aut)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	17:00	ESPN 4
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 5, Moja TV
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	ANT1, Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
Greece	22:00	ANT 1 Greece, COSMOTE Sport 3, Cosmote Sport 4K
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
South America	—	ESPN 4 South, ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 6, Movistar Plus+ 1
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+


	FCSB		Olympiacos Piraeus

	1	X	2
	3.4	3.5	2.1
	3.5	3.3	2.15
	3.5	3.5	2.15	Watch
	3.58	3.4	2.17
	3.47	3.41	2.13	Watch
	3.4	3.4	2.1
	3.57	3.6	2.19
	3.5	3.5	2.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.49 ↑ (3.1)	3.45 ↑ (3.3)	2.14 ↓ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
27.5%

Draw
27.8%

Olympiacos Piraeus
44.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.4%

28.6%

41%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.1%

29.9%

42.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Olympiacos Piraeus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olympiacos Piraeus than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
12.5%	37.5%	50%

FCSB - Olympiacos Piraeus Predictions

Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Olympiacos will win (votes: 8 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 37.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Olympiacos: 25.5% – 74.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 2. Cretu V. 30. Ngezana S. 17. Popescu M. 33. Radunovic R. 18. Edjouma M. 8. Sut A. 11. Miculescu D. 27. Olaru D. (C) 7. Tanase F. 9. Birligea D.	88. Tzolakis K. (G) 20. Costinha 45. Retsos P. 5. Pirola L. 3. Ortega F. 96. Mouzakitis C. 14. Garcia D. 23. Rodinei 84. Kostoulas C. 19. Masouras G. (C) 9. El Kaabi A.
Substitutes
24. Baeten W. 5. Dawa J. 29. Musi A. 3. Pantiru I. 19. Popa D. 15. Stefanescu M. 22. Toma M. 99. Vlad A. (G)	99. Anagnostopoulos A. (G) 65. Apostolopoulos A. 4. Biancone G. 22. Chiquinho 32. Hezze S. 74. Ntoi A. 27. Oliveira S. 1. Paschalakis A. (G) 8. Stamenic M. 11. Velde K. 18. Willian 17. Yaremchuk R.
Coaches
Charalambous E.	Mendilibar J. L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
30', Ngezana S. ↓, Dawa J. ↑,
40', Tanase F. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
49', Retsos P. 🟨,
53', Birligea D. 🟨,
63', Costinha ↓, Hezze S. ↑,
63', Masouras G. ↓, Willian ↑,
67', Birligea D. 🟨,
77', Garcia D. ↓, Velde K. ↑,
77', Kostoulas C. ↓, Yaremchuk R. ↑,
82', Tanase F. ↓, Popa D. ↑,
85', Yaremchuk R. ↓, Oliveira S. ↑,
90+2', Edjouma M. 🟨,
90+3', Tarnovanu S. 🟨,
90+5', Popa D. 🟨,

Preview

FCSB is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Olympiacos is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Olympiacos could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Olympiacos will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in FCSB: Lixandru M. (Injury)

There will not play in Olympiacos: Yazici Y. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Olympiacos: Hezze S. (Muscle Injury) Martins G. (Muscle Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
24.11.24	FCSB - Unirea Slobozia	3:0 ✺
21.11.24	Botoșani - FCSB	1:0 ✺
10.11.24	Universitatea Cluj - FCSB	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	FCSB - Midtjylland	2:0 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
03.11.24	Universitatea Craiova - FCSB	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WLWWT
- FC Olympiacos Piraeus
Greek Super League
24.11.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - AEK Athens	4:1 ✺
10.11.24	PAOK - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
07.11.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Glasgow Rangers	1:1 ✺
Greek Super League
02.11.24	Olympiacos Piraeus - Panserraikos	2:1 ✺
Greek Cup
30.10.24	Athens Kallithea - Olympiacos Piraeus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.4 WWTWW

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