Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 20 February 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Nationala (Bucharest) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Jug M. (Slo)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport MaXimo 2
Argentina	14:45	ESPN 3
Armenia	21:45	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD
Australia	04:45	Stan Sport
Austria	18:45	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:45	Arena Sport 6, Moja TV
Bulgaria	19:45	Ring, Voyo
Canada	12:45	DAZN Canada
China	01:45	iQIYI, ZhiBo8
Colombia	12:45	ESPN 3
Croatia	18:45	Arena Sport 7, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	19:45	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	18:45	Disney+
Finland	19:45	Viaplay
France	18:45	Canal+ Live 3
Germany	18:45	RTL+, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top event, WOW
Greece	19:45	COSMOTE Sport 4
Iceland	17:45	Viaplay
India	23:15	JioTV app, Sony LIV
Indonesia	00:45	beIN Connect, Vidio
Italy	18:45	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 259
Laos	00:45	beIN Connect
Malaysia	01:45	beIN Connect
Malta	18:45	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Netherlands	18:45	Ziggo Sport 6
New Zealand	06:45	DAZN New Zealand
Nigeria	18:45	SuperSport LaLiga, Supersport Maximo 2
North Macedonia	18:45	MaxTV GO
Norway	18:45	Viaplay
Philippines	01:45	beIN Connect
Poland	18:45	Polsat Sport Premium 4
Portugal	17:45	DAZN 4
Romania	19:45	Digi Online, Digi Sport 1, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 1
Russia	20:45	Okko Sport
Serbia	18:45	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	19:45	SuperSport Football
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	18:45	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	18:45	Disney+
Switzerland	18:45	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7, Sky Sport Mix, Sky Sport Top Event
Thailand	00:45	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	20:45	Tabii
Ukraine	19:45	MEGOGO Futbol 9
United Kingdom	17:45	Discovery+ UK, TNT Sports 7
Usa	12:45	Paramount+
Venezuela	13:45	Inter
Vietnam	00:45	ON Plus
International	17:45	Disney+


	FCSB		PAOK

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.3	2.7
	2.7	3.25	2.75
	2.71	3.3	2.8
	2.66	3.27	2.71	Watch
	2.75	3.2	2.62
	2.78	3.35	2.8
	2.72	3.25	2.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.3)	3.27 ↓ (3.79)	2.73 ↓ (3.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 1.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

FCSB
35.5%

Draw
29.3%

PAOK
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.8%

26%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

26.9%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

FCSB has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that FCSB's form might have worsened.

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for FCSB than the current prediction. (+5.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for FCSB, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
39.1%	34.8%	26.1%

FCSB - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 46 users predict this event. FCSB will win (votes: 18 - 39.1%). PAOK will win (votes: 12 - 26.1%). It will Tie (votes: 16 - 34.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for FCSB: 25% – 53.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
32. Tarnovanu S. (G) 2. Cretu V. 30. Ngezana S. 17. Popescu M. 33. Radunovic R. 21. Chiriches V. 8. Sut A. (C) 11. Miculescu D. 31. Cisotti J. 7. Tanase F. 9. Birligea D.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny Otto 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 82. Meite S. 27. Ozdoev M. 14. Zivkovic A. (C) 80. Pelkas D. 7. Konstantelias G. 70. Samatta A.
Substitutes
42. Alhassan B. 25. Baluta A. 5. Dawa J. 18. Edjouma M. 77. Gheorghita A. 29. Musi A. 15. Stefanescu M. 22. Toma M. 1. Udrea M. (G) 38. Zima L. (G)	54. Balomenos K. (G) 2. Camara M. 9. Chalov F. 15. Colley O. 77. Despodov K. 23. Sastre J. 22. Schwab S. 71. Thomas B. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G)
Coaches
Charalambous E.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Cisotti J. ⚽, Miculescu D. (A),
44', Zivkovic A. 🟨,
45+2', Cretu V. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Birligea D. ↓, Gheorghita A. ↑,
49', Jonny Otto 🟨,
54', Michailidis G. 🟨,
55', Meite S. ↓, Camara M. ↑,
55', Samatta A. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
63', Pelkas D. ↓, Despodov K. ↑,
64', Despodov K. 🟨,
71', Chiriches V. ↓, Alhassan B. ↑,
78', Tanase F. ↓, Edjouma M. ↑,
79', Zivkovic A. ↓, Thomas B. ↑,
79', Ozdoev M. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
81', 2 - 0, Miculescu D. ⚽, Radunovic R. (A),
82', Kotarski D. 🟨,
86', Miculescu D. ↓, Baluta A. ↑,

Preview

2nd leg. 1st leg result: 2-1.

FCSB is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches PAOK is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

FCSB could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

There will not play in FCSB: Lixandru M. (Injury) Olaru D. (Shoulder Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Bakayoko T. (Inactive) Gomez J. (Inactive) Lovren D. (Inactive) Monastirlis D. (Muscle Injury) Pavlenka J. (Inactive) Pena S. (Inactive) Taison (Red Card) Vieirinha (Inactive) Wieteska M. (Inactive)

There are questionable in FCSB: Cercel I. (Injury)

There are questionable in PAOK: Kotarski D. (Illness) Michailidis G. (Head Injury)

Last 5 head-to-head matches FCSB won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 9:7 (average 1.8:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams FCSB won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:4 (average 2.5:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FCSB
Romanian SuperLiga
16.02.25	Gloria Buzău - FCSB	0:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	PAOK - FCSB	1:2 ✺
Romanian SuperLiga
09.02.25	FCSB - Sepsi OSK	3:0 ✺
06.02.25	Petrolul Ploieşti - FCSB	0:0 ✺
02.02.25	FCSB - CFR Cluj	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 WWWTT
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
16.02.25	PAOK - Lamia	7:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	PAOK - FCSB	1:2 ✺
Greek Super League
08.02.25	OFI - PAOK	0:5 ✺
02.02.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
30.01.25	Real Sociedad - PAOK	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.9 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
13.02.25	PAOK - FCSB	1:2
03.10.24	PAOK - FCSB	0:1
Club Friendly
05.07.23	FCSB - PAOK	1:1
09.07.18	PAOK - FCSB	2:1
13.07.16	FCSB - PAOK	4:3

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