What is the expert prediction for Real Sociedad vs PAOK?

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Real Sociedad vs PAOK Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Thursday, January 30, 2025)

Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian)

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	New World Sport App
Argentina	Disney+
Armenia	Fast Sports
Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	Stan Sport
Austria	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	Disney+
China	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	Disney+
Croatia	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	Disney+
Finland	Viaplay
France	Canal+ Live 11
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 4
Iceland	Stod 2 Sport 3
Indonesia	beIN Connect, Vidio
Japan	Wowow Prime
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Myanmar	Canal+ Myanmar
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Peru	Disney+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	Okko Sport
Serbia	Arena Sport 2
South-america	ViX Latin America
Spain	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	Disney+
Switzerland	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	Tabii
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United-kingdom	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	Paramount+
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	ON Plus
World	Disney+, VIX App


	Real Sociedad		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.8
	1.8	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.65	5.2
	1.77	3.54	4.96	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.8
	1.77	3.59	5.34
	1.82	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.64)	3.58 ↓ (3.93)	4.96 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
54%

Draw
26.7%

PAOK
19.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	20%	12%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 34 - 68%). PAOK will win (votes: 6 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 55.1% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marrero U. (G) 2. Odriozola A. 6. Elustondo A. (C) 21. Aguerd N. 17. Gomez S. 7. Barrenetxea A. 4. Zubimendi M. 23. Mendez B. 28. Marin P. 11. Becker S. 9. Oskarsson O.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny Otto 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 22. Schwab S. (C) 77. Despodov K. 2. Camara M. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.
Substitutes
27. Aramburu J. 14. Kubo T. 12. Lopez J. 31. Martin J. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 10. Oyarzabal M. 20. Pacheco J. 1. Remiro A. (G) 24. Sucic L. 22. Turrientes B. 8. Zakharyan A. 5. Zubeldia I.	54. Balomenos K. (G) 9. Chalov F. 15. Colley O. 7. Konstantelias G. 90. Kottas D. 23. Sastre J. 47. Shoretire S. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G)
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Ozdoev M. 🟨,
39', Odriozola A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Becker S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Odriozola A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Elustondo A. (A),
49', Thomas B. 🟨,
64', Ozdoev M. ↓, Konstantelias G. ↑,
64', Zubimendi M. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
71', Thomas B. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
71', Despodov K. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
74', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
74', Oskarsson O. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
75', Olasagasti J. A. 🟨,
81', Gomez S. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently PAOK have a series of home games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Munoz A. (Red Card) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Lovren D. (Ankle Injury) Murg T. (Illness) Pavlenka J. (Inactive) Pena S. (Inactive) Samatta A. (Inactive) Vieirinha (Inactive)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in PAOK: Colley O. (Muscle Injury) Gomez J. (Illness) Zivkovic A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
26.01.25	Real Sociedad - Getafe	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Lazio - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.01.25	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
26.01.25	PAOK - Levadiakos	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	PAOK - Slavia Prague	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
19.01.25	Aris - PAOK	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	PAOK - Volos	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
09.01.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTLL

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