Match Info

EUROPE: Europa League - League phase - Round 8

Date: 30 January 2025, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Reale Arena (San Sebastian) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Beaton J. (Sco)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	New World Sport App
Argentina	17:00	Disney+
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 6, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 6
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+
China	04:00	QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 11
Greece	22:00	COSMOTE Sport 4
Iceland	20:00	Stod 2 Sport 3
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, Vidio
Japan	05:00	Wowow Prime
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Myanmar	02:30	Canal+ Myanmar
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand
North Macedonia	21:00	MaxTV GO
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	15:00	Disney+
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Premium 5
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 3, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 3
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 2
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Switzerland	21:00	Blue Sport 1, Blue Sport 1
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect
Turkey	23:00	Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ UK
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	Disney+, VIX App


	Real Sociedad		PAOK

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.5	5	Watch
	1.75	3.5	4.8
	1.8	3.6	4.75	Watch
	1.77	3.65	5.2
	1.77	3.54	4.96	Watch
	1.75	3.6	4.8
	1.77	3.59	5.34
	1.82	3.65	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.77 ↑ (1.64)	3.58 ↓ (3.93)	4.96 ↓ (5.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Real Sociedad
54%

Draw
26.7%

PAOK
19.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.9%

24.2%

17.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

22.9%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Real Sociedad has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

PAOK has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Sociedad than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Real Sociedad, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PAOK than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
68%	20%	12%

Real Sociedad - PAOK Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Real Sociedad will win (votes: 34 - 68%). PAOK will win (votes: 6 - 12%). It will Tie (votes: 10 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Real Sociedad: 55.1% – 80.9%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Marrero U. (G) 2. Odriozola A. 6. Elustondo A. (C) 21. Aguerd N. 17. Gomez S. 7. Barrenetxea A. 4. Zubimendi M. 23. Mendez B. 28. Marin P. 11. Becker S. 9. Oskarsson O.	42. Kotarski D. (G) 19. Jonny Otto 16. Kedziora T. 5. Michailidis G. 21. Baba A. R. 27. Ozdoev M. 22. Schwab S. (C) 77. Despodov K. 2. Camara M. 11. Taison 71. Thomas B.
Substitutes
27. Aramburu J. 14. Kubo T. 12. Lopez J. 31. Martin J. 16. Olasagasti J. A. 10. Oyarzabal M. 20. Pacheco J. 1. Remiro A. (G) 24. Sucic L. 22. Turrientes B. 8. Zakharyan A. 5. Zubeldia I.	54. Balomenos K. (G) 9. Chalov F. 15. Colley O. 7. Konstantelias G. 90. Kottas D. 23. Sastre J. 47. Shoretire S. 25. Thymianis K. 99. Tsiftsis A. (G)
Coaches
Alguacil I.	Lucescu R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', Ozdoev M. 🟨,
39', Odriozola A. 🟨,
43', 1 - 0, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Becker S. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Odriozola A. ↓, Martin J. ↑,
48', 2 - 0, Oskarsson O. ⚽, Elustondo A. (A),
49', Thomas B. 🟨,
64', Ozdoev M. ↓, Konstantelias G. ↑,
64', Zubimendi M. ↓, Olasagasti J. A. ↑,
71', Thomas B. ↓, Chalov F. ↑,
71', Despodov K. ↓, Shoretire S. ↑,
74', Barrenetxea A. ↓, Kubo T. ↑,
74', Oskarsson O. ↓, Oyarzabal M. ↑,
75', Olasagasti J. A. 🟨,
81', Gomez S. ↓, Lopez J. ↑,

Preview

Both teams are now playing unstable.

Real Sociedad could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently PAOK have a series of home games.

In this match Real Sociedad is a favorite.

There will not play in Real Sociedad: Munoz A. (Red Card) Traore H. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in PAOK: Lovren D. (Ankle Injury) Murg T. (Illness) Pavlenka J. (Inactive) Pena S. (Inactive) Samatta A. (Inactive) Vieirinha (Inactive)

There are questionable in Real Sociedad: Zakharyan A. (Ankle Injury)

There are questionable in PAOK: Colley O. (Muscle Injury) Gomez J. (Illness) Zivkovic A. (Knee Injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Real Sociedad
Spanish LaLiga
26.01.25	Real Sociedad - Getafe	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	Lazio - Real Sociedad	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
19.01.25	Valencia - Real Sociedad	1:0 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
16.01.25	Real Sociedad - Rayo Vallecano	3:1 ✺
Spanish LaLiga
13.01.25	Real Sociedad - Villarreal	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 LLLWW
- PAOK FC
Greek Super League
26.01.25	PAOK - Levadiakos	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
23.01.25	PAOK - Slavia Prague	2:0 ✺
Greek Super League
19.01.25	Aris - PAOK	0:0 ✺
12.01.25	PAOK - Volos	1:2 ✺
Greek Cup
09.01.25	PAOK - AEK Athens	1:1 ET ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WWTLL

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